Search this site
44 results found with an empty search
- Expressions of Global Outlook on the Eastern Seaboard
Arriving in Visakhapatnam on 10 September 2026 felt less like a routine transit and more like a tactical recalibration. As my flight banked over the coastline, the mind of an erstwhile (Aircraft) Direction Officer (The ‘Dee’) instinctively took over. I found myself mentally calculating intercept geometries and scanning the glideslope through the cloudy haze of the approach. The landscape below has shifted; we touched down at the newly commissioned Aduluri Raju Airport at Bhogapuram, a sleek facility that sits 40 km north of the original city airport. This geographical displacement is a literal metaphor for the expanding strategic footprint of India’s eastern gateway. During the long drive to the base, a welcome pause in a hectic academic season. This transit, cushioned by the "typical naval excellence" that remains the bedrock of the Indian Navy, served as the perfect connective tissue between the abstractness of academia and the marinated reality of the Fleet. A Shared Horizon of Four Decades Stepping into the headquarters of the Eastern Naval Command (ENC) is always a homecoming, but this visit carried a unique weight of continuity. Calling on the Flag Officer Commanding-in-Chief, Vice Admiral Sanjay Bhalla, AVSM, NM was a moment of profound professional symmetry. It has been 39 years since we first stood together as trainees at the Naval Academy at INS Mandovi, Goa, during the Autumn Term of 1987. To see a classmate at the helm of this vital Command is a testament to the enduring strength of the bonds forged in our "initial naval season." We reflected on the Indian Navy’s burgeoning impact on the global stage, specifically the recent operational triumphs of MILAN 2026 and the International Fleet Review. These events are not merely spectacles; they are declarations of maritime intent on the eastern seaboard, signaling a navy that has moved from a regional force to a pillar of global stability. Centenary of a Legend: Honoring Vice Admiral MP Awati Maintaining the institutional soul of the Navy requires us to anchor ourselves in the legacy of those who charted the course before us. This visit was framed by a significant milestone: the commencement of the centenary year of the "Grand Sea Icon," the late Vice Admiral Manohar Prahlad Awati, PVSM, Vir Chakra, on 7 September 2026. My mind returned to post IFR 2016, where I had the privilege of engaging in candid conversations with the Admiral. Even then, his clarity of thought regarding history, geography, and demography was legendary. He understood that India’s maritime destiny was not a matter of chance, but a product of its inescapable physical presence in the Indian Ocean. Honoring Admiral Awati reminded us that while technology and tactics evolve, the fundamental requirements of command, vision and character, remain immutable. Steel and the Soul in A Return to Fleet Support There is a specific emotional resonance found only on the decks of a former sea command. Returning to INS Jyoti, where I served as Executive Officer (XO), was a journey back to the "steel" that forged my professional identity. Welcomed by the current Commanding Officer, Captain Shobhit Agarwal, I walked the familiar passageways with a sense of immense pride. Jyoti is more than a tanker; she is the logistical backbone of blue-water persistence. Reflecting on the almost 400 incident free underway replenishments (UNREPs) I helped execute on these very decks, I was reminded of the staggering precision and operational grit required to sustain a fleet at sea. These memories of "operational tempo" serve as a bridge between the physical ship and the intellectual "war rooms" where our future strategies are wargamed. Intellectual Crucible of Wargaming and Strategy The synergy between the deck and the classroom was most evident during my visit to the Maritime Warfare Centre (MWC) in Visakhapatnam. The MWC serves as a hub for strategic learning, and seeing it today provided a beautiful professional loop: the current Director is my PhD scholar at the Naval War College, Goa. This mentor-student relationship is the lifeblood of the Navy’s intellectual evolution. Spending time in what I call the "war room for the mind" evoked foundational memories of my own career development in wargaming. It is here that we move beyond "mental geometry" to the deeper synthesis of strategy, ensuring that our officers are as sharp with a pen and a thesis as they are with a bridge wing and a sextant. The Chaotic Globe in a Monsoon Series Lecture The visit culminated at the Meghadri Auditorium in the Naval Dockyard, where I delivered the Monsoon Lecture to an audience led by Rear Admiral Gokul Krishna Dutta, VSM, the Chief Staff Officer (Personnel and Administration), ENC. The date, 11 September 2026, marked the 25th anniversary of 9/11, an event that shattered geographic insularity and birthed a quarter-century of kinetic intervention. Drawing from my recent book, Wide Wild World: Divergent Hues of a Chaotic Globe, I introduced the concept of "Progressive Unrealism." This is realism stripped of all wisdom, a "Gangland Global Order" where hegemons treat international law as a rhetorical accessory to be discarded at will. We see this in the US quietly renaming INDOPACOM back to "US PACOM" in June 2026, signaling a retreat from the "Indo" anchor toward a transactional G-2 arrangement with Beijing. The most chilling manifestation of this lawlessness occurred right in our backyard: the sinking of the Iranian frigate IRIS Dena on March 4, 2026. The Dena had been an honored guest at MILAN 2026 in Visakhapatnam, yet just days after departing our waters, she was torpedoed by the USS Charlotte off the coast of Sri Lanka. This "unprovoked kinetic operation" proves that sovereign sanctity is now a conditional commodity. This fragmentation of order imposes a "Geopolitics Tax" on the world, forcing a shift from "just-in-time" supply chains to "just-in-case" redundancies. The depth of the lecture’s impact was best captured during the Q&A, specifically by an insightful question from a sailor. His inquiry into the future of minilateral alliances demonstrated that strategic awareness now permeates every level of naval service, from the wardroom to the lower decks. Autonomy and Vision in the New Era As I left Visakhapatnam, the overarching lesson of this journey was clear: we are living in a "restive dawn" where the old rules-based order is being buried under the rubble of unilateralism. In a world of "Progressive Unrealism," where power is exercised simply because it is uncontested, the Indian Navy must remain a beacon of grounded stability. While regional architectures like SAARC may be fraying and global hegemons may be retreating into transactionalism, our mandate remains simple: we must maintain order while the rest of the world is busy in disorder. The future of the maritime commons will not be dictated by distant capitals operating under "unreal" delusions, but by those who stand firm on strategic autonomy, history, and unwavering justice. Like the legends before us, we must lead with a cold, unblinking realpolitik, ensuring that the Indian Ocean remains an ocean of peace in a wide, wild, and chaotic world.
- The Sea Icon: A Centenary Tribute to Vice Admiral M.P. Awati
Imagine a chilly dawn in the quiet village of Vinchurni at 4:30 AM. The morning mist still hangs heavy over the countryside as a car's headlamps pierce the darkness. Getting into the seat is an elderly gentleman in his late eighties. Dressed in an immaculately pressed suit, he sits perfectly upright, embarking on the long drive to Pune to catch the Deccan Queen—a connection he famously, not even once, failed to catch on time. To any ordinary observer, he might seem like a retired professor. But this was Vice Admiral Manohar Prahlad Awati, PVSM, Vir Chakra—submarine hunter of the 1971 War, former Commandant of the National Defence Academy, and the legendary "Father of Indian Ocean Circumnavigation". He was the pioneer who single-handedly envisioned and tracked the historic solo voyages of Indian sailors like Dilip Donde and Abhilash Tomy. Today, September 7, 2026, marks the start of his centenary birth anniversary year. Within the Indian Navy, Admiral Awati is a towering titan. Yet, to the wider public, this elegant sea icon remains largely unsung. This centenary year is our collective opportunity to change that. As we embark on this milestone, I am just hoping this centenary year would be a series of tributes to the vision led by M.P. Awati, not nostalgia, which is the true form of tribute. To honor him is not to look back with warm regret, but to look forward with an active, guiding compass. A Bond Beyond the Blue For me, this tribute is deeply personal. For forty-two months, I had the privilege of working under the Admiral's direct wings, nurturing his precious child, the Maritime History Society (MHS). Our relationship quickly transcended professional lines, mirroring the profound guidance of my own father, Odakkal Master of Kondotty. In a beautiful twist of fate, these two iconic parental figures were born just twenty days apart, providing the near-identical cover that enabled me to blossom as a voyager of learning. I can still feel the warmth of early July 2018 when I handed him the first-ever copy of Sagardhara, our newly launched news magazine. His sagacity and vision acted as a powerful catalyst that transformed me from a student of the sea into a published historian and director. Under his guidance, we moved with a new tack—driving towards systems, in-house research scholarship, digital presence, and reaching out directly to schools and the general public. His contributions to our growth were immense; his vision was to rescue maritime history from closed shelves and put it in the hands of the public. As Patron Emeritus of MHS, he had tirelessly guided our transition into an active research engine, personally navigating us through decades of pending statutory compliances and building a robust in-house research vision. Looking at Sagardhara—the stream of the sea his eyes welled with tears. "Johnny, you have transformed my vision into reality!" he said. Not long after, he spoke of his final voyage, requesting we remember him with a simple white carnation rather than a red one. On November 3, 2018, the Grand Sire set sail into the eternal seas. To truly honor him today is to breathe life into his enduring dream of a "sea-minded" nation. When we documented our seafaring roots in Where Heritage Awakens Maritime Consciousness!, we were capturing his belief that a nation's future is shaped by its oceans. In Legend & Legacy : 45 Years of Maritime History Society, we tracked how a seed planted with a "princely" sum of INR 1,000 grew into an academic beacon. His legacy is an active, living compass, directing us to explore ancient navigation in Climatology & Marine Navigation a Rich Heritage! and preserve material culture as outlined in Museums Today! Charting Your Own Course: Lessons for Young Scholars and High Schoolers If I could gather today’s high schoolers and young scholars in one room, I would tell them that Admiral Awati’s journey is a masterclass in living with purpose in a world obsessed with instant validation. First, consider his "Quiet Second Act". Many achieve great heights and spend their retirement resting on their laurels. But the Admiral proved that your most enduring legacy is often built after your primary career ends. He spent forty post-retirement years on the grueling, non-glamorous task of institution building, showing that true leadership is about service that outlives the self. Second, he demonstrated that humility and discipline are the same habit. That dawn train ride from Vinchurni was not a forced chore. Even in his late eighties, he chose to travel unassisted by ordinary passenger train to Pune just to attend an MHS Founders' Day. When a young sailor rushed to carry his bag, he politely refused, choosing to hire a local railway porter instead. He believed in supporting local livelihoods while keeping his own feet firmly on the ground. Third, he taught us that we must actively construct our national memory. History does not preserve itself; we must decide what counts as "worth archiving". He inspired me to write Timeless Wake, which became Timeless Tales of Naval Narratives, and supported our work uncovering the 1946 Royal Indian Navy Strike in Unwrapping an Uprising that hastened Indian Independence. For a young scholar, his life challenges you to look at the horizon, find the unsung stories, and build the intellectual infrastructure your country needs. Answering the Shikwa: Steering the Ship Forward In my deeply reflective moments, I often think of the quiet plea—the Shikwa, or complaint that I penned in Shikwa-E-Sagardhara : Sail on Sea Icon. I asked why we, who were chosen to ride the rising tide of maritime glory, are sometimes left to fade into the ebb tide of public memory. The answer to that complaint does not lie in passive sorrow, but in how we steer our sails today. To preserve the wonderful voyage of Admiral Awati, our nation must integrate this rich seafaring consciousness into our national identity. We do this by actively preserving our tangible heritage, such as translating the ancient navigational logs of Kutchi boatmen in the Malam-Ni-Pothi, and bringing these stories into our classrooms. Our tribute must be active, echoing in the sails of modern circumnavigators who continue to challenge the global oceans. The Admiral’s celestial telescope is watching us. Let us fill our sails with his indomitable spirit, turn his sea-minded vision into our daily mission, and carry his legacy proudly into the next century. विरासत जगाये समुद्री चेतना! May Heritage Awaken our Maritime Consciousness!
- Quit India 2.0 : Imperatives for a Civilisational Revival
Eighty-four years ago, in the wartime August days of 1942, the Quit India resolution transformed a nationalist political struggle into an irreducible mass civilizational movement. Bharat Chhodo was not merely a tactical demand for political withdrawal, it was a psychological rupture. It declared that foreign tutelage was no longer simply politically unjust, but morally and intellectually unviable. Four years later, in February 1946, when the ratings of the Royal Indian Navy took to the streets of Bombay and ignited a fire across maritime hubs, the final, decisive blow was struck. It was not parliamentary debates in London that shattered the illusion of colonial permanence, but the breaking of institutional allegiance within the armed forces as a stark signal that the state apparatus could no longer enforce subjugation. Together, 1942 and 1946 established a foundational truth that true sovereignty arrives when a society categorically refuses to accept structural decay as its natural baseline. Today, as we mark these historic anniversaries, India stands as a vast, complex civilisational state (Rashtra), an extraordinary confluence of demographic energy, geographic diversity, and deep historical continuity. We do not require external liberators, nor do we need to wallow in self-deprecation. A confident culture does not mistake self-examination for weakness. On the contrary, real civilisational maturity demands the courage to identify internal inertia and name the systemic habits that impede our full potential. To honor the spirit of 1942 and 1946 is not to look backward in solemn ritual, but to launch a contemporary Bharat Chhodo as a conscious, sovereign unburdening of the structural liabilities that choke our future. This reflective vision of a renewal flows through nine vital streams: Nau Dharayein, woven across three fundamental realms of our collective existence - the mind, the polity, and the civic ethos. A. The Realm of Mind & Pedagogy (Shiksha & Jnan) 1. The Industrialisation of Learning The mechanical, algorithmic reduction of pedagogy must Quit India. Across primary schools and university halls alike, we have tolerated a system that mistakes memory for intellect and test scores for wisdom. The "murder of education" occurs whenever curiosity is sacrificed on the altar of hyper-standardised examinations and industrial coaching complexes. A civilisational state cannot thrive on exam-clearing automatons. We must restore education as Jnan-Jijnasa, the pursuit of transformative knowledge driven by original inquiry, empirical rigor, and an uncompromising scientific temper. Indians occupy high chairs of excellence across global level institutions and initiatives. The core competence that is resident in this country must take deeper root to bring the change that is needed. 2. Scholastic Escapism and Intellectual Migration The systemic friction that compels our finest intellectual and scientific talent to seek validation, infrastructure, and institutional homes abroad must Quit India. Brain drain is not merely an economic loss but a symptom of institutional asphyxiation. True self-reliance (Atmanirbharta) is incomplete without intellectual sovereignty. We must build domestic ecosystems of uncompromising academic excellence through universities, research laboratories, and think tanks that generate original theory, drive deep-tech innovation, and command respect on global terms without requiring foreign imprimaturs. A wave of foreign academia setting up shop in an Indian centre of an imported ecosystem is showing signs of decay before the start and in early stages of the first academic year. Excellence and depth of knowledge is resident in India and has to be fuelled to bring in the vital transformation. 3. Feudal Deference and Institutional Sycophancy The pervasive culture of hierarchy, feudal deference, and VIP mindsets must quit our academic, administrative, and public institutions. When seniority, political patronage, or institutional title overwrite empirical evidence and merit, intellectual stagnation is inevitable. We must reclaim the ancient subcontinental tradition of Shastrartha i.e., a rigorous, egalitarian debate where ideas are tested strictly on their logical coherence, evidence, and public utility, regardless of the speaker's designation or status. Autocracy, misogyny, and nepotism are core viruses that derail genuine diligence and effort. Left unaddressed, these hierarchical failures are too often projected onto reservation, our constitutional instrument for social justice, as though the remedy were the cause. The decay sits in the hierarchy, not the safeguard, and needs to be eradicated at its root. B. The Realm of Statecraft & Society (Rajya & Samaj) 4. Manufactured Polarisation and Social Fracturing The short-term amplification of identity fault lines and manufactured social division must quit our public square. Polarisation is an intellectual shortcut utilized by political expedience, but its cost is borne by the civilizational fabric. It destroys civic trust, creates insular echo chambers, and consumes vital national energy. Internal harmony is not a passive moral luxury; it is a hard strategic prerequisite for comprehensive national power. A nation at war with its own pluralism cannot project enduring strength abroad. What we need is not the machinery to prolong artificially fuelled conflict, but samwaad, dialogue that restores harmony and collaborative growth. 5. The Escalating Socioeconomic and Intellectual Chasm The widening divide where economic hardship compounds into an asymmetry of digital access, quality mentorship, and intellectual mobility must Quit India. When millions of young citizens are excluded from the high-tier knowledge economy, our celebrated demographic dividend risks transforming into a demographic burden. Democratising access to high-grade intellectual capital, critical skills, and institutional opportunity is both an ethical imperative and an indispensable strategic necessity. There is no need to look at globally led indices of human capital misinformation to trigger the change we need. The economic and equity gap between segments of our society are threatening to become a wide gulf. Bridges need to be built across the chasm. 6. Electoral Myopia over Long-Horizon Statecraft Governance dictated exclusively by immediate electoral quarters and news-cycle volatility must quit our policy space. When statecraft is bound to the next ballot, multi-decade challenges, such as ecological degradation, water security, foundational educational reform, and structural defense modernization, are routinely deferred. We require bipartisan, long-horizon statecraft capable of planning across generations, insulating core national priorities from the immediate noise of political churn. C. The Realm of Civic Ethos & Vision (Karta & Samskriti) 7. Public Spatial Neglect and Civic Indifference The jarring paradox where meticulous personal and domestic cleanliness coexists with widespread apathy toward the public domain has no place in our civic culture. Public spaces, urban commons, rivers, and forests are not neutral waste zones; they are the shared physical manifestation of our collective self-respect. Swachhata cannot remain a periodic top-down campaign. It must become an internalized civic ethics (Civic Dharma) where public cleanliness and environmental stewardship are understood as direct reflections of civilizational pride. Why do we need to rise in defence to a demeaning “Oh it is India” narrative in terms of sanitation or sensibility? Opulence needs to be in mindsets and not in celebrations with gargantuan size of trash that overflows our landfills. 8. Process-Bound Bureaucratic Friction Beyond deference in personal conduct, a parallel liability persists in process itself: over-regulated, risk-averse governance that prioritises procedural compliance over tangible human outcomes must be exiled from our administrative machinery. A governance apparatus designed historically for colonial extraction and mistrust cannot serve an ambitious, dynamic society. We must transition toward high-trust, outcome-oriented administration that empowers grassroots initiative, honors individual agency, accelerates research, and rewards measured innovation over procedural inertia. There must be no need for palms to be greased or genuflection before civic authorities. Any process of audit that costs many times the original saving and derived from a past case, has to be reviewed. Systems need to be simplified with no new rule or law allowed to add more layers that bring delay and penalise the actual outcomes. 9. Continental Myopia and Oceanic Neglect Finally, the land-locked, continental myopia that overlooks India’s historic maritime identity must quit our strategic worldview. For centuries, India’s wealth, cultural diplomacy, and global influence flowed across the Indian Ocean. Yet modern strategic discourse frequently defaults to a land-centric obsession with northern frontiers. We must revive a bold, comprehensive oceanic consciousness (Samudram). As a peninsular power positioned at the cross-roads of global trade, reclaiming our maritime heritage and blue-economy potential across the Indo-Pacific is central to our geopolitical destiny. During my six year tenure at the Maritime History Society (MHS) in the Indian Navy, I had the opportunity to help coin a motto that encapsulates the agenda of the organization: ‘Where Heritage Awakens Our Maritime Consciousness’. That said, do we need someone else to remind us that in the pre-colonial era, maritime-rich India commanded close to a quarter of global GDP, among the largest economies the world had seen? The Civilizational Horizon Calling for these nine liabilities to Quit India is not an exercise in critique. It is an urgent appeal for collective movement. A nation that hesitates to confront its internal friction surrenders its strategic future to stagnation. Just as the generations of 1942 and 1946 recognized that foreign rule was an artificial ceiling on Indian potential, Bharat Chhodo 2.0 demands that we boldly cast off the internal burdens limiting our sovereign growth. This requires a deliberate, shared momentum. It calls on our institutions to trade mistrust for high-trust governance, unleashing domestic research and enterprise. It demands that our classrooms reclaim pedagogic sovereignty, replacing mechanical test preparation with original, critical inquiry. It asks every citizen to cultivate an uncompromising civic ethic that links personal responsibility for our public spaces and social cohesion directly with national pride. And it compels our strategic mind to lift its gaze beyond land-bound borders to embrace India's maritime destiny across the Indo-Pacific. Bharat Chhodo 2.0 is ultimately an invitation to step from political independence into full civilisational maturity. By unburdening ourselves of these nine systemic liabilities, India will not merely navigate the turbulence of the 21st century, it will fulfill its sovereign promise as an intellectually vibrant, socially harmonious, and ocean-facing superpower. This Commemorative Article was originally published in The Daily Guardian dated 10th August 2026, Page no 8.
- Beyond Headlines in Indian Educational Competence
The enduring strength of a nation’s educational apparatus is measured not merely by the logistical security of its examination halls, but by the intellectual courage of the institutions shaping its youth. This write up explores the interactive challenge between a technological panacea and a core pedagogical spine. In contemporary educational governance, a recurring paradigm has emerged wherein deployment of technological scale addresses systemic administrative vulnerabilities. India’s recent constitution of a six-member, high-powered task force to overhaul its public examination system exemplifies this reflex. Formed by the Prime Minister in the wake of widespread student unrest over recurring paper leaks and administrative lapses, the committee headed by Nandan Nilekani, the celebrated architect of Aadhaar, promises tech-driven, leak-proof mechanisms to restore trust in the state's evaluation apparatus. To understand the full spectrum of India's educational crisis, however, we must look beyond the mechanics of test centres, biometric authentication, and digital encryption. The task force brings together formidable expertise, including former ISRO Chairman S. Somanath, former Education Secretary Anita Karwal, IIT Madras Director Dr. V. Kamakoti, logistics expert Amrit Lal Meena, and former Intelligence Bureau Director Tapan Deka. Their mandate to implement cybersecurity safeguards and prevent malpractice is a critical intervention. Yet, as an educator who has spent years in the classroom and within curriculum design, I find this moment demands a deeper, more sobering interrogation. Can a technological fix truly salvage an educational ecosystem if it overlooks the integrity of curriculum development and the systemic vulnerabilities faced by the scholars who build its intellectual foundation? The Quiet Triumph of Grassroots Pedagogy Consider the stark contrast between these headline-driven administrative overhauls and the quiet, painstaking labour of textbook creation. This month marks the release of the NCERT Grade 8 Social Science textbook (Part II), titled Exploring Society: India and Beyond. For those of us involved in the Social Sciences Curricular Area Group, seeing these volumes finally reach classroom desks is a moment of profound, albeit bittersweet, professional celebration. This milestone is deeply personal to me and to my team at Johnson Odakkal Initiatives (JOI). My recent journey in school education includes three fulfilling years at the Aditya Birla World Academy (ABWA), Mumbai. That classroom experience across middle and high school was matched by another parallel journey. It was the honour of completing three intensive years as a member of the textbook development team for the NCERT. The focus was on the social science textbooks for Grade 6 to Grade 8 students. To contribute directly to shaping the young minds of our nation is a rare, unmatched privilege. It is also an incredibly humbling but proud moment for us at JOI. As a collective team, Ms. Kashmira Juwatkar, our Research Associate, Ms. Supriya Mishra, our Senior Associate (Operations) along with Ms. Vivaksha Vats earlier as an Adjunct Associate, worked hand-in-hand with me to contribute to the chapters of the last two of the series, the revised Grade 8 Social Science textbook. Our work on Chapter 1, "World Geography: Some Glimpses," and Chapter 5, "Citizenship: Rights and Duties," was designed to foster critical, conceptual vocabulary encompassing civic duty, global interconnectedness, and institutional balance. These chapters demonstrate what education looks like when driven by heart, collaborative scholarship, and pedagogical clarity, quiet, grassroots work that actually transforms young minds, occurring far from television studios and political rallies. Tragic Fragility of Academic Attribution Yet, this celebration arrives shrouded in an unmistakable institutional gloom. The developmental trajectory of this very curriculum illustrates the precise pathology that plagues Indian educational governance: a systemic lack of institutional spine when confronting public controversy. During the development cycle, the chapter entitled, “The Role of Judiciary in Our Society” with a small sub-section, “Corruption in the Judiciary” became the subject of intense public and judicial scrutiny. Taking suo motu notice of a newspaper report, the Supreme Court intervened and asked about the background and process to compile the text book. The Director NCERT’s response was laden with half-truths as a reactive fire-fighting reply. It bypassed possible failures by NCERT as the publication agency to properly circulate and get approvals of the final content. The Honourable Supreme Court ordered a ban on the publication of the entire text book and ordered its recall. Procedural adherence is vital, and it is entirely appropriate for an apex court to ensure that institutional protocols are respected when designing curricula. Whether that comes with pedagogical competence to do so is left to be judged. Sadly, the broader educational bureaucracy's response to this episode reveals a systemic panic. Rather than defending the pedagogical intent and scholarly rigour of the textbook development team, the political and bureaucratic leadership chose the path of least resistance. The responses by NCERT and reactive comments by the now former Education Minister and even sadly the Prime Minister did not look at the issue in the original spirit of the NEP 2020 or NCF 2023. Reactive strictures were passed by the Supreme Court (later withdrawn) to which NCERT and the Education Ministry through their counsel jumped to declare that the three scholars would not be associated with any government led academic roles. Finally, the original, and well-nuanced draft was summarily replaced with an insipid, sanitised version that stripped the topic of its analytical vigour. However the story remains incomplete especially in the human cost of this administrative reflex and short sighted action. The scholars who had devoted three years of unremitting labour; Professor Michel Danino, Suparna Diwakar, and Alok Prasanna Kumar have been unceremoniously detached and erased from the record. Prof Danino and Ms Diwakar were the integrating scholarly spine for coordination and coherent compliance with NCF-SE (National Curriculum Framework - School Education). Over 95 percent of the published text book remains unchanged and yet one can scour the acknowledgments of the newly released textbook and find their names conspicuously absent. The three scholars showcased commitment to high ideals of educational and pedagogical reform and have stood their ground throughout. My association with Shri Michel Danino, then Visiting Professor at IIT Gandhinagar goes back 11 years and is built with genuine scholarly passion. Michel first invited me onto this project. It is incredibly difficult to hold the pride of seeing our team at JOI listed in this book alongside the profound discomfort of publishing beside a systematic erasure of the pioneering scholars who made the entire project possible. Reclaiming the Heart of Educational Reform When an educational bureaucracy reflexively scapegoats its finest academic contributors merely to shield itself from short-term controversy, it sends a chilling signal to the entire scholarly community. It exposes an environment where political expediency routinely overrides academic integrity, treating the architects of the nation's intellectual spine as expendable administrative casualties. This is precisely why the Nilekani Task Force must be viewed through a highly critical lens. Technology can secure a question paper, encrypt an answer key, and audit a testing centre. It can eliminate human intervention where human intervention has proven corrupt or incompetent. But technology cannot write a textbook that inspires critical inquiry. It cannot protect a dedicated educator from bureaucratic overreach, nor can it impart a “scholarly spine” to an institution fundamentally lacking the courage to stand by its own experts. If India is to truly honour the aspirations of the young people who took to the streets to demand a fair system, we must broaden our understanding of reform to encompass three non-negotiable pillars: Acknowledge the Builders. We must build a culture of educational governance that database-tracks, respects, and fiercely protects its intellectual architects. Chasing headlines with flashy new committees while systematically airbrushing the contributions of transformative scholars creates a toxic ethos of pervasive cynicism. Insulate Pedagogy from Political Panic. Curriculum design must be governed unequivocally by pedagogical experts, not by panicked bureaucrats or external non-experts. When non-pedagogical interventions are permitted to dictate classroom content, the inevitable result is an insipid, risk-averse curriculum that fails to prepare students for a complex world. Elevate Education as a National Core Strategy. Education is not a secondary welfare sector or a mere logistical engine for churning out credentials; it is the foundational pillar of national resilience and geoeconomic capability. Models of educational excellence globally succeed not solely because of their software platforms, but because they accord absolute trust, autonomy, and dignity to their educators. The Road Ahead As I reflect on this milestone, holding the fifth published textbook that carries my contribution and that of my young research team members, I am reminded that the road to educational stagnation is frequently paved with good intentions and flashy announcements. The task force under Nandan Nilekani has an essential administrative role to play in restoring baseline technical trust in our public examinations. But we must not fall into the trap of confusing a leak-proof exam with a meaningful education. A reform that fixes how India tests its students, while leaving unresolved how India treats the adults who build what those students are taught, is only half a reform. True, lasting reform begins the moment we stop treating education as a perpetual crisis-management exercise and start treating it as a sacred trust, one that requires intellectual honesty, unwavering institutional courage, and an unyielding commitment to those who labour quietly in its service. To further this commitment to critical thinking, connect with Johnson Odakkal Initiatives (JOI). We mentor senior students in research and academic writing with a global perspective, offer premium IBDP tutoring in Global Politics, TOK, and Economics, and conduct school workshops and visiting faculty engagements in strategic studies, public policy, and leadership. Reach out through our contact page to explore opportunities and join the conversation.
- The Forgotten Frontline: Seafarers and the Militarization of the Global Commons
Imagine spending months at sea, surrounded by nothing but water and an endless horizon. Your job is already demanding, requiring you to navigate unpredictable weather, handling heavy cargo, and enduring long periods away from family. Now imagine doing all of that knowing that a missile strike, drone attack, or naval confrontation could erupt around you at any moment. What may seem like a hypothetical scenario to many is someone else’s reality today. Seafarers traversing some of the world’s most critical maritime chokepoints today, from the Red Sea to the Strait of Hormuz, live under the constant threat of violence, uncertainty, and even death. Neither are they combatants, nor do they have a stake in geopolitical rivalries, ideological battles, or regional wars. Yet, they find themselves caught in conflicts that were never theirs to fight, but whose consequences they are forced to endure. It is easy to overlook the significance of seafarers because their work takes place far from public view. Yet, the shirt we wear, the phone in our hand, the fuel that powers our vehicles, and the food that reaches our supermarkets are all part of supply chains sustained by people working at sea. Over 80% of global trade moves by maritime transport, making seafarers indispensable to the functioning of the global economy. Today, as the world marks the Day of the Seafarer, it is worth raising an important question: When maritime routes become theatres of conflict, do we remember the people who keep global trade moving through them? Recognizing the Invisible Workforce On 25th June every year, the global community observes the International Day of the Seafarer. The theme this year though, reflects the reality of the world in 2026 i.e., “Carrying world trade. Carrying the risks.” This campaign aims to highlight the extreme hardships and dangerous conditions faced by those operating in high-risk, conflict-affected areas. UN Secretary-General António Guterres has pointed out that while nearly 90% of all global goods, from food to medicine to energy, are transported by sea, the public often remains “seablind”. This lack of awareness persists until a crisis strikes, leaving the landbound world oblivious to the fact that it is ships and seafarers that “keep the world afloat”. Today, the oceans have shifted from being neutral transit zones into volatile arenas where mariners are often caught in the crossfire of national clashes. The Everyday Reality: Life on the Edge For the modern mariner, the reality is a life defined by long periods of isolation and psychological weight. India is a cornerstone of this workforce, providing one in every five seafarers worldwide and accounting for approximately 17% of the global crew share. As of 2024, there are 3.08 lakh Indian sailors navigating the deep seas. For these individuals, the Strait of Hormuz represents a dual picture of a livelihood and a nightmare. Electro-Technical Officer Vineet Sharma describes the “immense stress” of crossing these waters even during supposedly peaceful passages, noting that crews must remain on “constant alert” and cannot relax for even a few minutes. The dread is no longer just of storms or accidents, but of loitering munitions (drones) dropping onto loaded oil tankers in the dead of night. The Human Cost: The MT Settebello Tragedy The militarization of the maritime commons reached a tragic peak on 10th June 2026. The Palau-flagged oil tanker MT Settebello, carrying 24 Indian crew members, was struck by US military forces in the Gulf of Oman. The human cost was devastating. Three Indian seafarers namely Aditya Sharma, Shivanand Chaurasiya, and Patnala Suresh, lost their lives. The incident sparked a significant diplomatic standoff. India summoned senior US diplomats to lodge a formal protest, describing the use of lethal force against civilian shipping as unacceptable. While the US claimed the vessel had ignored nearly 60 verbal warnings and was part of a “shadow fleet” evading sanctions, the ship’s management company, Dubai-based IOS Marine FZE, disputed these claims. They stated, “to the best of our knowledge and based on information available to us, no warning call, message or communication was ever successfully established with the vessel prior to the actions taken against it. No contact whatsoever was made with the vessel as has been publicly alleged”, though the cadet communications with families suggested a more complex timeline. The mortal remains of Sharma and Chaurasiya were repatriated to India on 17th June 2026, bringing a somber closure to their families’ weeks of grief. Geopolitical Conflict and Global Shipping Chokepoints like the Strait of Hormuz are the “bloodstream” of global commerce, vital for energy supplies and commercial cargo. However, when these lanes become battlegrounds, the impact on seafarers is profound. In response to mounting welfare concerns, the International Maritime Organisation (IMO), on 23rd June 2026, announced that it would begin implementing a large-scale evacuation plan for more than 11,000 seafarers stranded in the Strait of Hormuz. This operation, conducted in cooperation with Iran, Oman, and the U.S., aims to ease the humanitarian impact on crews who have faced months of restricted movement and “mounting welfare concerns”. Simultaneously, other incidents like the fire on the MT Jalveer, and striking and disabling of MT Marivex off the coast of Oman by the U.S. forces further highlight the operational hazards amidst geopolitical standoff. Gaps in Protection and the “Flags of Convenience” Despite their critical role, seafarers face a significant gap in protection. Strategic policies frequently prioritize cargo and vessel security over the welfare of the human beings on board. One of the darker aspects of the profession is the use of “Flags of Convenience”. Many seafarers, desperate for work, take contracts on vessels where ownership is opaque. When insurance lapses or owners vanish, crews are often abandoned. For instance, India accounts for 18% of global seafarer abandonments. These sailors are left stranded in foreign ports without wages, food, or a way home, becoming invisible victims of the maritime system. This systemic neglect frequently manifests as a quiet, slow-motion humanitarian disaster when stranded vessels face medical emergencies. A heartbreaking example of this crisis unfolded aboard the MT Celestial. Trapped in the volatile waters near Oman’s Duqm Port, the vessel’s crew was effectively cut off from basic shoreside assistance. When a 35-year-old Indian seafarer, Second Officer Nishanth Uirthanathan, fell critically ill, ongoing regional military strikes and severe communication blackouts meant that emergency medical evacuation protocols could not be executed. Despite desperate distress calls over a harrowing three days, Second Officer Nishanth eventually died at sea on 11th June 2026. However, the horror did not end with his passing. Since the vessel lacked functioning refrigeration facilities, his helpless crewmates were left to use cold water bottles in a desperate attempt to preserve his body while a bureaucratic blame game delayed the repatriation of his remains. This tragedy highlights how structural abandonment and the fog of war can be just as fatal as a direct drone strike, turning a merchant ship into an isolated prison. Reframing the Role of the Seafarer: A Human-Centric Vision Recognizing that seafarers are central to global economic stability has become a diplomatic priority for New Delhi. At the G7 Summit in June 2026, Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi raised the safety of Indian seafarers directly with world leaders, including U.S. President Donald Trump. PM Modi emphasized that “the safety of seafarers, who connect nations through global maritime trade, is our responsibility” and declared that “seafarers must work without fear”. This diplomatic push advocates for a ‘human-centric’ vision of maritime security. While leaders agree that keeping corridors like the Strait of Hormuz open is vital for the global economy, the Prime Minister stressed that the safety of the individuals performing these duties is of “utmost importance”. President Trump acknowledged the deaths of the Indian sailors, calling seafaring a “rough profession” and indicating a willingness to cooperate on security safeguards. Preparing for the “New Era” at Sea As the nature of maritime risk evolves, so must the training. India’s maritime institutes, such as the Samundra Institute of Maritime Studies (SIMS) in Lonavala, are rewriting their curricula to prepare cadets for active war zones. Cadets now undergo rigorous training from 5:30 am to 10:30 pm daily, building the “mental and physical toughness” required to survive at sea. Modern training now involves scenarios where a cadet has only 90 seconds to communicate an emergency and manage crew panic during a simulated loitering munition strike, while biometrics track their stress levels. These “man-made challenges” are shifting the traditional view of merchant vessels as neutral “Red Cross convoys” into a more defensive, survivalist reality. The Future: A Call for Recognition The demand for seafarers continues to rise, yet recruitment struggles to keep pace. While the salaries are extraordinary, the younger generation is increasingly reluctant to accept the extended separation, physical hardship, and now, the lethal risks of modern conflict. As the world celebrates the Day of the Seafarer 2026, there is an urgent call for better mental health support, fair remuneration, and stronger labor protections. Sustainability in global shipping depends not just on technology, but on the well-being of the people operating the ships. Conclusion: Honoring the Unsung Guardians The story of the seafarer is one of uncommon courage. From transporting life-saving medicines to delivering industrial raw materials, they remain the silent force sustaining modern civilization. The tragedies of young men like Aditya Sharma serve as a stark reminder that the stability of international commerce is built upon the resilience of a vulnerable labor force. Ensuring that seafarers no longer remain the “forgotten frontline” is a shared global responsibility. To honor the theme of 2026, the global community must ensure that those who carry world trade are no longer forced to carry such disproportionate risks alone. As we mark this day, we must commit to the vision that seafarers, the unsung guardians of the sea, must finally be allowed to work without fear. For in an age of contested oceans, the true measure of maritime security is not merely the safe movement of cargo, but the safety of those who carry it. References: Day of the Seafarer 2026. (n.d.). https://www.imo.org/en/about/events/pages/day-of-the-seafarer-2026.aspx Honouring the unsung heroes of the Sea on Day of the Seafarer 2026 – THISDAYLIVE. (2026, June 23). https://www.thisdaylive.com/2026/06/23/honouring-the-unsung-heroes-of-the-sea-on-day-of-the-seafarer-2026/ IMO begins Hormuz evacuation for 11,000 stranded seafarers. (2026, June 24). Logistics Middle East. https://www.logisticsmiddleeast.com/news/imo-begins-hormuz-evacuation-for-11000-stranded-seafarers Kalyanaraman, M. (2026, June 15). Can India protect its seafarers in the Gulf? | Explained. The Hindu. https://www.thehindu.com/news/international/can-india-protect-its-seafarers-in-the-gulf/article71101455.ece Lakshman, S. (2026, June 18). Seafarers issue of ‘utmost importance’: Modi to Trump. The Hindu. https://www.thehindu.com/news/national/g7-summit-2026-modi-raises-seafarers-safety-issue-trump-says-us-will-defend-india/article71114826.ece MEA confirms deaths of 3 Indian seafarers in Settebello attack; evacuation underway for MT Jalveer crew. (2026, June 11). ANI News. https://www.aninews.in/news/world/asia/mea-confirms-deaths-of-3-indian-seafarers-in-settebello-attack-evacuation-underway-for-mt-jalveer-crew20260611174540/ Mehta, S. (2026, June 17). 1 in 5 sailors worldwide is Indian: What draws them to the deep sea. The Indian Express. https://indianexpress.com/article/long-reads/indian-sailors-worldwide-strait-of-hormuz-deep-sea-10743214/ Mitra, D. (2026, June 11). Firm managing tanker disputes US version of attack that killed three Indians - The Wire. The Wire. https://thewire.in/world/firm-managing-tanker-disputes-us-version-of-attack-that-killed-three-indians Open Bureau & Agencies & Open Bureau & Agencies. (2026, June 18). G7 Summit: Spotlight on the seafarers issue that dominated PM Modi-Trump talks in France. Open Magazine. https://openthemagazine.com/world/g7-summit-spotlight-on-the-seafarers-issue-that-dominated-pm-modi-trump-talks-in-france “Seafarers must work without fear”: PM Modi tells G7 leaders, including Trump; flags deaths of Indian sailors in US strike. (2026, June 17). Wion News. https://www.wionews.com/india-news/seafarers-must-work-without-fear-pm-modi-tells-g7-leaders-including-trump-flags-deaths-of-indian-sailors-in-us-strike-1781676407489 Sharma, S. (2026, June 17). Remains of 2 Indian seafarers killed in US strike near Oman repatriated. India Today. https://www.indiatoday.in/india/story/mt-settebello-attack-mortal-remains-indian-seafarers-aditya-sharma-and-shivanand-chaurasiya-repatriated-india-us-strike-gulf-of-oman-2928282-2026-06-17 TNIE Online Desk. (2026, June 17). Mortal remains of two Indian seafarers killed in US attack near Oman repatriated. The New Indian Express. https://www.newindianexpress.com/india/2026/Jun/17/mortal-remains-of-two-indian-seafarers-killed-in-us-attack-near-oman-repatriated Tnn. (2026, June 15). Palau-flagged ship Settebello had ignored close to 60 warnings before it was hit: US official. The Times of India. https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/world/us/palau-flagged-ship-settebello-had-ignored-close-to-60-warnings-before-it-was-hit-us-official/articleshow/131741927.cms World News in Brief: UN launches Hormuz evacuation plan, UNICEF youth champion killed in Gaza, Lebanon ceasefire ‘largely holding.’ (2026, June 23). UN News. https://news.un.org/en/story/2026/06/1167793 Team, E. B. E. (2026, June 14). Indian seafarer dies off Oman after being “Denied” treatment amid war; Embassy begins repatriation process. ETV Bharat News. https://www.etvbharat.com/en/bharat/indian-seafarer-dies-onboard-mt-celestial-after-denied-medical-aid-amid-missile-strikes-enn26061304094
- Oceans at the Crossroads: Commons, Competition, and the Future of Global Order
A Special Feature of World Oceans Day Science fiction visionary Arthur C. Clarke famously observed, “How inappropriate to call this planet Earth, when clearly it is Ocean”. While we often picture the sea as a vast, tranquil expanse, the reality is far more turbulent. Today, our oceans are rapidly transforming into the frontline of 21st-century geopolitics. Beyond their ecological indispensability driving our climate, providing our oxygen, and sustaining biodiversity; the oceans serve as the invisible, beating heart of the modern global economy. They carry 90% of global trade and hold one-third of our traditional hydrocarbon resources, alongside new forms of renewable energy. As we plunge deeper into this century, surging demand for resources, climate change, and fierce great-power competition are pushing our oceans to a critical crossroads. From Shared Waters to Strategic Arenas While the historical doctrine of open seas remains a foundational ideal, modern economic interests are transforming these shared environments into highly contested strategic arenas. Today, maritime corridors act as instruments of geo-economic strategy that actively shape the distribution of global power. Nowhere is this more evident than in the world's major maritime chokepoints, such as the Strait of Hormuz, the Strait of Malacca, and the Suez Canal. The Strait of Hormuz alone facilitates 34% of global seaborne oil exports. Because these routes are so heavily concentrated, they are incredibly vulnerable to geopolitical disruptions. Recent tensions and security incidents in the Red Sea, for instance, have forced vessels to reroute entirely around the Cape of Good Hope, adding weeks to transit times, inflating freight rates, and exposing the severe fragility of global supply chains. To build resilience against these vulnerabilities, nations are aggressively investing in new port infrastructure and diversified trade corridors, with massive initiatives like the India-Middle East-Europe Economic Corridor (IMEC), China’s Belt and Road Initiative (BRI), and India’s Sagarmala programme fundamentally reshaping global maritime connectivity. Critical Resources and Maritime Systems Driving this massive expansion in maritime infrastructure is a fierce race for resources. The global transition to clean energy technologies has triggered skyrocketing demand for critical minerals like cobalt, copper, lithium, manganese, and rare earth elements. In fact, global demand for these energy transition minerals is expected to nearly triple by 2030 and more than quadruple by 2040. Because these resources are geographically concentrated, the oceans serve as the ultimate final connectors in global supply chains. The seaborne trade of these minerals is growing at an unprecedented rate, but the flows are highly unequal and heavily centralized. This immense concentration turns specific maritime corridors into highly strategic geopolitical lifelines. However, the world does not have to rely solely on aggressive extraction to meet these needs. Policy momentum is building to support circular economy strategies; improved recycling alone could significantly reduce the need for new mine development in the coming decades. The Challenges Beneath the Surface This maritime boom and the rush for resources bring profound challenges that threaten the stability of the global commons. Economically, while developing nations hold vast mineral wealth, they often suffer from entrenched "commodity dependence" , a reality where over 60% of a country's merchandise export earnings come from raw commodities. The overwhelming pressure to satisfy the demands of industrialized nations leaves these countries highly vulnerable to price shocks and prevents them from capturing the refined economic value of their own resources. Environmentally, the massive push for extraction poses extreme risks to ocean health, particularly as corporations look to the ocean floor in places like the Clarion-Clipperton Zone. Deep-sea ecosystems are incredibly fragile and poorly understood; for instance, scientists recently discovered four completely new species of deep-sea octopus thriving at hydrothermal vents off the coast of Costa Rica, highlighting the uncharted biodiversity at stake. Recognizing the unknown ecological consequences, 38 countries and 64 major companies including Google and Volvo now support a moratorium or precautionary pause on deep-sea mining. Furthermore, there is a severe human toll and mounting safety risks. The global supply chain relies on a strained workforce of 1.9 million seafarers. Rerouting vessels around the globe intensifies fatigue, anxiety, and isolation for crews, driving seafarer labor shortages to a 17-year high. Compounding this is a massive structural inequality, as women remain vastly underrepresented, making up only 1% of the active global seafarer workforce. To circumvent sanctions, there has also been an alarming rise in flag-hopping "shadow fleets" i.e., older, substandard tankers operating without proper insurance or maintenance, creating massive safety and environmental risks on the high seas. Finally, managing these overlapping crises is severely hampered by fragmented governance. While the UN Convention on the Law of the Sea (UNCLOS) serves as the overarching legal framework for the oceans, major powers like the United States have yet to ratify it, stalling comprehensive global action. This fragmentation weakens the cohesive international regime needed to manage these accelerating and interconnected maritime crises. Reimagining Ocean Governance Managing these overlapping crises from supply chain resilience to climate change requires a cohesive approach to global ocean governance. Currently, governance remains highly fragmented across different jurisdictions, environmental protections, and trade sectors. To ensure the oceans remain a shared and sustainable space, we must strengthen international frameworks. The landmark High Seas Treaty (BBNJ Agreement) represents a game-changing step toward inclusive governance, containing specific provisions on the transfer of marine technology and capacity-building to protect marine biodiversity beyond national jurisdictions. Additionally, true equity requires that the Global South has equal access to ocean data, artificial intelligence, and hydrography. Initiatives like India's Deep Ocean Mission and the proposed Indian Ocean Knowledge Fellowship (IOKF) aim to bridge this divide, ensuring developing nations are co-producers of ocean science rather than just observers. The oceans are no longer just a vast expanse of water to be navigated; they are the intersection of global trade, environmental survival, and great-power competition. As maritime corridors become increasingly important for resources and strategic influence, we must ask ourselves: Can the idea of the ocean as a shared global commons survive, or are we entering an era where control and competition will permanently define the future of our seas? References: https://unworldoceansday.org/about/ https://www.un.org/en/observances/oceans-day/background https://www.un.org/en/global-issues/oceans-and-the-law-of-the-sea https://www.cfr.org/reports/global-oceans-regime https://www.orfonline.org/expert-speak/the-ocean-knowledge-divide-and-the-quest-for-equity https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/14649365.2025.2476507 https://education.nationalgeographic.org/resource/all-about-the-ocean/ https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1364661323002516 https://www.orfonline.org/expert-speak/beyond-chokepoints-reimagining-ocean-governance-for-global-south-connectivity https://www.orfonline.org/english/expert-speak/reconfiguring-ocean-governance-maritime-corridors-and-geoeconomics https://www.orfonline.org/expert-speak/trade-corridors-the-new-engines-of-economic-growth https://www.weforum.org/stories/2025/01/trade-corridors-resilient-future/ https://www.iea.org/reports/global-critical-minerals-outlook-2025 https://www.weforum.org/stories/2025/09/deep-sea-mining-critical-minerals/ https://www.aa.com.tr/en/greenline/green-economy/rising-critical-mineral-demand-puts-deep-sea-mining-back-in-spotlight/1830515 https://www.wri.org/insights/critical-minerals-explained https://www.unesco.org/en/articles/oceans-africas-new-frontier-development https://africarenewal.un.org/en/magazine/taking-charge-africas-oceans-and-blue-resources https://globalfishingwatch.org/rising-pressures-on-africas-fisheries-and-marine-resources/ https://blogs.worldbank.org/en/transport/moving-from-roads-to-rivers--the-tremendous-potential-of-inland- https://www.orfonline.org/series/world-oceans-day-series-governing-the-oceans-rethinking-access-and-equity https://www.un.org/en/global-issues/oceans-and-the-law-of-the-sea https://oceans-and-fisheries.ec.europa.eu/ocean/international-ocean-governance/international-ocean-governance-framework_en https://unctad.org/system/files/non-official-document/ditc-ted-10.05.16-oceans-un%20legal%20affairs-shewchuk.pdf https://www.researchgate.net/publication/381915082_OCEANS_SUSTAINABILITY_CHALLENGES_AND_POLICIES https://www.orfonline.org/expert-speak/rebalancing-the-ocean-economy-the-case-for-inclusive-ocean-governance https://www.frontiersin.org/journals/ocean-sustainability/articles/10.3389/focsu.2023.1050165/full https://www.orfonline.org/expert-speak/beyond-unclos-culture-community-and-the-future-of-ocean-governance https://news.un.org/en/story/2026/01/1166762 https://www.sei.org/perspectives/ocean-sustainability-rising-tensions/ https://www.ioc.unesco.org/en/articles/public-and-private-sectors-advance-ocean-observing
- Scholar in South Block : Stellar Season Ahead
The morning of May 31, 2026, carried a rare sense of emotion within the imposing corridors of South Block. Beneath the ceremonial precision of the guard of honour and the formal transfer of command from Admiral Dinesh Tripathi, PVSM, AVSM, NM India witnessed the appointment of its 27th Chief of the Naval Staff, Admiral Krishna Swaminathan, PVSM, AVSM, VSM. For the nation, it was the rise of a distinguished naval leader to the highest office of the Indian Navy. To some of us as the naval cohort of NDA’s 70th course and equivalent - the “70th Elites,” this was the proud ascent of a coursemate, a shipmate, a neighbour, and above all, a very dear friend. Special moments arrive in life when achievement transcends rank and designation. Watching “Krish” take charge of the Indian Navy was one such point when time stood still. Carrying the four-star shoulder insignia stood someone many of us had known not just as an institution, but as a warm and grounded human being. Long before South Block, before command appointments and strategic responsibilities, there were countless seasons of discipline, resilience, and camaraderie together. Those bonds forged in the demanding routines of the Naval and National operations across the waves. Some memories remain especially vivid. Serving alongside him aboard INS Viraat during 1995-96, sharing conversations as next-door neighbours in naval accommodation, and witnessing the quiet dignity with which he carried every responsibility, one could always sense that he was destined for extraordinary things. Yet what stayed remarkable throughout his journey was his humility. Even as he rose through responsibility and rank, he remained approachable, thoughtful, and deeply connected to his circle of friends and colleagues. I still remember helping pin on his first three-star rank as Vice Admiral. It was not a grand public moment, but a quiet home and hearth moment that reflected the person he truly is. Looking at him now as the Chief of the Naval Staff creates a powerful contrast, not simply because the man has remained unchanged, but since the voyage has been so extraordinary. What has always distinguished Admiral Krishna Swaminathan is the rare balance he embodies between intellectual depth and operational excellence. In many ways, he represents the ideal of the scholar-warrior. Long before the Indian Navy institutionalised advanced doctoral pathways at the Naval War College, he was already pushing those boundaries. I look back with a sense of pride and nostalgia to our shared doctoral journey in 2016, when “Krish”, Vice Admiral Sanjay Jasjit Singh (Retd) and I navigated our doctoral journey under the guidance of Professor Uttara Sahasrabudhe at University of Mumbai. Even then, his ability to combine rigorous scholarship with the demands of active naval service stood out. That achievement alone would have marked him as exceptional, but it was only one part of an extraordinary academic journey. This intellectual rigor was never pursued for prestige alone. It shaped his understanding of strategy, technology, and the evolving character of warfare. As a Communication and Electronic Warfare specialist, he developed a deep appreciation for how future conflicts would increasingly be shaped not only by firepower at sea, but also by information dominance, cyber capabilities, and electronic battles fought invisibly across networks and frequencies. I was reminded of this only recently when I met him in his office to present my book, Wide Wild World. The interaction felt less like a formal courtesy meeting and more like a conversation with someone who genuinely grasps the complexity of the strategic world we inhabit today. His insights reflected not only operational experience, but also a scholar’s instinct to understand the larger geopolitical currents shaping our times. Yet for all his academic brilliance, Admiral Swaminathan’s leadership was ultimately forged at sea. Since his commissioning into the Indian Navy on July 1, 1987, he has commanded five frontline warships across multiple classes and operational roles. From the fast attack missile vessels INS Vidyut and INS Vinash to the missile corvette INS Kulish and the guided missile destroyer INS Mysore, his command experience reflects both diversity and depth. Among these appointments, perhaps none carried greater symbolic and operational significance than serving as the second Commanding Officer of India’s aircraft carrier INS Vikramaditya. Commanding a carrier is not simply about seamanship or tactics; it requires the ability to integrate men, machines, aviation operations, and national strategy into a single coherent fighting system. As he advanced through the flag ranks, his influence extended beyond operational command into institution building. As Chief Staff Officer (Training) at Southern Naval Command and later as Flag Officer Sea Training, he shaped the standards by which the Indian Navy prepares itself for combat. He also played an instrumental role in establishing the Indian Navy Safety Team, reinforcing operational safety and professional accountability across the force. His subsequent appointments reflected the trust placed in him at the highest levels. Commanding the Western Fleet, often called the “Sword Arm” of the Navy, placed him at the centre of India’s frontline maritime posture. His tenure as Vice Chief of the Naval Staff and later as Flag Officer Commanding-in-Chief of the Western Naval Command further demonstrated his ability to lead during a period of rapidly evolving maritime competition and strategic uncertainty. His decorations, including the Param Vishisht Seva Medal, Ati Vishisht Seva Medal, and Vishisht Seva Medal, speak to decades of distinguished service. Yet those who know him personally understand that the medals tell only part of the story. The greater measure of the man lies in his integrity, consistency, and unwavering commitment to both institution and people. The maritime landscape confronting India today is vastly different from the one that existed when we first wore uniforms together. The Indian Ocean has become increasingly contested. The boundaries between conventional warfare, cyber operations, electronic warfare, and geopolitical competition are blurring rapidly. In such an environment, the Indian Navy requires a leader capable not only of commanding fleets, but also of understanding the intellectual and technological transformations reshaping maritime power itself. In Admiral Krishna Swaminathan, India has found precisely such a leader. For those of us from the 70th course, his appointment feels like a shared milestone. It is the story of someone profoundly deserving reaching the very summit of service through merit, intellect, professionalism, and character. It is also a reminder of the enduring bonds forged in youth, when no one could fully imagine where life would lead. A brief mention is due to the smiling and strong presence of an elegant lady - Laila, and the effervescence of two Gen-Z charmers - Samara and Aria. It's the heart of a strong home and family robustness that strengthens the sinews of the arm at the helm of a powerful Indian Navy. It is a multi-decade progress from the environs of Sainik School, Bijapur to the command corridors of South Block. Even at the cost of repetition, to many, he is Admiral Krishna Swaminathan, Chief of the Naval Staff. To us, he will always remain Krish : the scholar, the singer, the steady friend. As he steers the Indian Navy at a defining moment in India’s maritime rise, we offer him our admiration, our pride, and our warmest wishes. Fair winds and following seas, Admiral. Sam Noh Varunah!
- Resurrection at Sea: Maritime Stability, Strategic Drift, and the Indian Seafarers
Across much of the world today, this day of April 5th, 2026 is being marked as Resurrection Sunday - a return from uncertainty to hope, from disruption to renewal. It is a day that invites reflection on recovery, on the possibility that systems shaken by crisis can find their way back to stability. Yet beyond this symbolism lies a more complex reality. The global environment today is not defined by clear endings or fresh beginnings, but by a continuous state of flux. Conflicts persist without formal declarations, supply chains adjust rather than recover, and uncertainty has become embedded in the rhythms of everyday life. Amidst this, the oceans continue their quiet, indispensable work. They carry energy, food, goods, and the movement of economies, forming the invisible architecture that sustains global continuity. Even as geopolitical tensions ripple across regions, maritime routes remain active by adapting, rerouting, and enduring. This raises a deeper reflection for our times: are we truly witnessing a resurrection of global stability, or are we learning to function within a prolonged state of disruption? In this evolving landscape, the answer may not lie in systems or strategies alone, but in the resilience of those who continue to keep the world moving, often far from sight, and far from shore. Maritime Legacy and Systemic Fragility This broader inquiry into systemic endurance takes on immediate, concrete significance on April 5th, as India marks its National Maritime Day. Commemorating the 1919 maiden voyage of the SS Loyalty, India's first merchant vessel owned by the Scindia Steam Navigation Company and championed by visionaries like Walchand Hirachand and Narottam Morarjee this observance historically represented an act of economic assertion against the monopolistic control of the British Empire. Today, the 63rd iteration of this day unfolds under the theme “Maritime India – Empowering Progress,” officially inaugurated at the national level with a commemorative lapel pin presented to President Droupadi Murmu. India relies heavily on its 7,500-kilometre coastline, handling approximately 90% of its external merchandise trade by volume and 77% by value via the oceans. However, the contemporary global system remains highly dependent on uninterrupted maritime connectivity that is currently facing immense systemic stress. Given that only 7.5% of Indian seaborne merchandise is carried on ships flying the Indian flag, domestic supply chains remain acutely vulnerable. As geopolitical pressures mount, a critical question emerges regarding how long global supply chains can rely on the resilience of the maritime workforce before structural fractures become irreparabl e. The Human Backbone of Geoeconomics The endurance of this global architecture rests disproportionately on the contributions of Indian seafarers, who act as the fundamental human backbone of modern geoeconomics. Currently, they constitute between 12% and 15% of the global seafaring workforce, with approximately 7,40,000 registered with India’s Directorate General of Shipping and over 323,000 actively navigating global shipping routes. Their active presence translates the abstract concept of "supply chain resilience" into operational reality. For example, amidst severe regional volatility, the Indian-flagged LPG carriers MT Shivalik and MT Nanda Devi, fully manned by Indian crews demonstrated exceptional operational discipline by waiting nearly two weeks in high-risk zones before safely navigating the Strait of Hormuz to deliver 92,712 metric tonnes of LPG to India. This stability directly sustains the domestic economy, enabling India to maintain 50 lakh daily LPG cylinder deliveries and gasify over 3.1 lakh piped natural gas (PNG) connections in a single month despite global market volatility. Furthermore, to circumvent increasingly contested traditional chokepoints, these maritime professionals are spearheading India's expansion into the Northern Sea Route (NSR), utilising the Eastern Maritime Corridor linking Vladivostok to Chennai. Bolstered by a $750 million memorandum of understanding with Russia's Rosatom to construct four non-nuclear icebreakers, this represents a significant strategic pivot to secure alternative trade corridors. As the geoeconomic reliance on these professionals grows, the adequacy of international legal and security frameworks protecting them requires critical evaluation. Undeclared War makes it Maritime Risk in Practice Seafarers operate within a continuous state of flux and undeclared conflict. Following military engagements between the US, Israel, and Iran, the maritime domain has increasingly become a theatre for asymmetric warfare. The Strait of Hormuz—a 21-mile-wide chokepoint handling over 20% of global energy—remains functionally compromised, with vessels such as the Thai bulk carrier Mayuree Naree enduring direct attacks. The operational environment forces ships to navigate complex risks, including the disabling of Automatic Identification System (AIS) signals, utilising false flags, and navigating through severe GPS jamming that disrupts standard navigation. The human cost is substantial; seafarer abandonments are surging, with the International Transport Workers’ Federation (ITF) reporting a record 1,125 Indian seafarers abandoned in 2025 alone, representing nearly 18% of global cases. This crisis is exacerbated by the "flag of convenience" system, which permits shipowners to bypass labour laws and sever ties with crews during financial distress. Seafarers caught in conflict zones face extreme perils, as evidenced by the eight Indian crew members of the seized MT Valiant Roar, who were trapped on their vessel amid missile strikes before undertaking an overland evacuation via Armenia. With global maritime insurers revoking war-risk coverage, India has initiated discussions with the US International Development Finance Corporation to secure political risk insurance and financial guarantees to sustain energy shipments. This operational reality questions whether traditional maritime laws are sufficiently equipped to govern environments where the physical boundaries of war are blurred. Cooperation is India’s Strategic Maritime Posture Amidst these fragmented realities, India’s maritime strategy offers a framework for systemic functionality during prolonged disruption. India has significantly tightened maritime vigilance, operating a 24-hour helpline through the Directorate General of Shipping and continuously tracking 35 Indian-flagged ships in the Persian Gulf and three in the Gulf of Aden. Functioning as a "first responder" and net security provider in the Indian Ocean Region, the Indian Navy has swiftly intervened to counter asymmetric threats, such as drone attacks (Operation MV Genco Picardy) and hijackings (Operation Lorenzo Pua 04). Furthermore, the government has facilitated the safe repatriation of over 959 seafarers and evacuated more than 5.72 lakh citizens from volatile zones. Beyond crisis management, India projects a paradigm of maritime cooperation engineered to build trust rather than strategic dependency. A prominent example is the Sea Phase of IOS Sagar with deployment of INS Sunayna. By offering regional navies interoperability training, maritime domain awareness tools, and joint surveillance capabilities without extracting infrastructure-for-equity concessions, India anchors its bilateral relationships in shared strategic interests. In an era characterised by increasing polarisation, such trust-based regional frameworks present a compelling alternative to traditional, coercive military alliances. The Integration–Militarisation Paradox This cooperative approach navigates an overarching geopolitical paradox: the parallel existence of intense economic integration and accelerated maritime militarisation. While regional rivalries threaten to constrain the global commons, India continues to achieve significant infrastructural milestones. India's major ports recently recorded their highest-ever cargo throughput of 819.4 million tonnes, with private operators like Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone independently handling a record 420 million tonnes. To develop transcontinental economic corridors, India is advancing global collaborations at Chabahar Port in Iran and Haifa Port in Israel. However, these logistical hubs operate under the omnipresent shadow of global volatility, proxy conflicts, and the persistent threat of sanctions. The maritime commons are effectively shrinking, replaced by a neo-mercantilist reality where naval supremacy is increasingly contested by asymmetric capabilities, such as cost-effective drones and anti-ship missiles. As militarisation accelerates alongside economic diplomacy, the dynamic between these competing forces will ultimately define the future balance of power in the Indian Ocean region. Eroding Freedoms, Expanding Risks The collision of global trade and regional conflict necessitates a broader strategic reflection: the foundational era of undisputed "freedom of the seas," previously underpinned by unchallenged American naval hegemony, is rapidly eroding. Oceans are currently utilised simultaneously as vital economic connectors and active theatres of asymmetric warfare, creating a perilous disconnect between traditional maritime strategic planning and the rapidly evolving realities at sea. The international community has entered a "chokehold era," where vessels avoiding the Strait of Hormuz or the Suez Canal are forced to navigate extended routes around the Cape of Good Hope or the Mozambique Channel, encountering renewed risks such as Somali piracy. With multiple naval powers converging in these congested and contested spaces, security analysts argue for the urgent implementation of practical de-escalation mechanisms. Establishing protocols analogous to the Cold War's 'Incidents at Sea' agreements, or creating limited humanitarian maritime corridors, may be required to establish temporary operational guidelines and prevent accidental confrontations from escalating into broader conflicts. If maritime conflicts no longer have predictable conclusions or localised boundaries, the global trade architecture must systematically adapt to conditions of permanent instability. Stability Anchored in Human Resilience Returning to the initial reflection on systemic recovery amidst global uncertainty, the contemporary maritime landscape indicates that the world is not witnessing a clean return to undisputed stability, but rather an ongoing adaptation to permanent disruption. If the upheavals affecting the world's maritime chokepoints represent the fracturing of established geopolitical paradigms, the continuous operations of the seafaring workforce represent the practical mechanism sustaining global trade. Despite asymmetric threats, surging abandonment rates, and the complexities of international conflict, these professionals ensure that global supply lines remain intact. In this evolving strategic environment, collective economic continuity and shared prosperity remain fundamentally reliant on the resilience of the maritime workforce that continues to navigate the global commons. In a world where oceans are no longer neutral and conflicts have no clear end, are we still shaping strategy for stability—or simply adapting to a future where disruption itself has become the norm? From the pages of Wide Wild World In a world shaped by shifting power, fragile systems, and unseen actors, Wide Wild World: Divergent Hues of a Chaotic World brings together stories that decode the very complexity this blog reflects. Get your copy at https://www.amazon.in/dp/9349934515 If the oceans are today telling us a story of uncertainty, resilience, and transformation—this book helps you understand why. References: https://indiashippingnews.com/63rd-national-maritime-day-gujarat-sets-the-tone-with-governor-and-cm-flag-pinning-ceremonies/ https://www.sagarsandesh.in/news/41422 https://www.pib.gov.in/PressReleseDetailm.aspx?PRID=2119352®=3&lang=2 https://maritimeindia.org/the-national-maritime-day/ https://www.orfonline.org/research/theorising-the-drivers-of-india-s-engagement-in-the-northern-sea-route https://www.ibef.org/blogs/india-s-ports-and-their-influence-on-global-trade-and-development https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cvgkn9379pqo https://www.pib.gov.in/PressReleasePage.aspx?PRID=2241393®=3&lang=1 https://sputniknews.in/20241019/protecting-indias-economic-lifelines-navys-critical-role-in-safeguarding-sea-trade-8292563.html https://organiser.org/2026/04/02/346742/bharat/amid-iran-tensions-how-is-india-delivering-50-lakh-lpg-cylinders-daily-and-adding-3-lakh-connections/ https://etedge-insights.com/industry/logistics/india-tightens-shipping-vigilance-to-protect-global-supply-chains/ https://indianexpress.com/article/explained/explained-global/west-asia-war-indian-seafarers-strait-of-hormuz-risks-10576709/ https://www.orfonline.org/english/expert-speak/seafarers-at-risk-safeguarding-the-human-backbone-of-maritime-trade https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/business/india-business/israel-iran-war-amid-conflict-india-us-talk-on-insurance-for-energy-shipments/articleshow/129121868.cms https://www.eurasiareview.com/02042026-anchors-of-stability-india-advances-maritime-collaboration-amidst-global-upheaval-analysis/ https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/india/urge-all-sides-to-exercise-restraint-india-on-middle-east-situation-as-us-israel-attack-iran/articleshow/128887803.cms https://www.aei.org/op-eds/the-iran-war-is-ending-freedom-of-the-seas/ https://www.chathamhouse.org/2026/03/conflict-strait-hormuz-spilling-indian-ocean
- Who Is My Neighbour? A Question That Travelled from a Lecture Hall to a Classroom
In 2017, I stood before a hall full of young minds at IIT Gandhinagar to speak about the Indian Navy’s role in the First and Second World Wars. The lecture was meant to be historical, but midway through, I chose to pause and ask a simple question: “Who are my neighbours as India?” Hands went up confidently, answering Pakistan, China, a few even added Sri Lanka and the Maldives. All correct, yet they revealed something deeper. Almost every answer was shaped by the idea of boundaries in the traditional sense. So I pushed the question further: “What if I say Chile is our neighbour? Or Argentina? Or even Japan?” The room fell silent. Some laughed. Some looked puzzled. Eventually, I asked, “What defines a neighbour?” and a reply was echoed in the speed of light: “a boundary line”. That response stayed with me. I then spoke about maritime zones, and how oceans link nations as powerfully as land borders do. That day, the idea I wanted to leave with the students was simple: neighbourhood is not just about lines on land; it is also about shared waters, routes, histories, and responsibilities. Little did I know then that this question, asked casually in a lecture hall, would one day find its way into a Grade 7 part 2 NCERT textbook. Geography as a Lived Experience My relationship with geography has never been confined to textbooks. As a naval officer and navigator, maps were my constant companions. Cartography was not theory; it was survival. Understanding coastlines, currents, ports, distances, and chokepoints was part of daily life. Geography, for me, was something you lived, not something you memorised. That lived experience shaped the framework of the NCERT chapter “India and Her Neighbours.” From the outset, I felt strongly that students should not inherit a narrow idea of neighbourhood, one limited only to land borders, because that is not how India exists in the world. India has over 11,000 kilometres of coastline, sitting at the crossroads of Africa, West Asia, Central Asia, South Asia, Southeast Asia, and even East Asia and Oceania if we stretch the perspective. Historically and strategically, India has always been a maritime nation. This chapter therefore begins by reframing the neighbourhood. The full chapter may be accessed here: https://ncert.nic.in/textbook/pdf/gees202.pdf From Immediate to Extended Neighbours Yes, India’s land-based neighbours matter deeply. However, for a long time, India’s understanding of its neighbourhood was shaped largely by land borders. This perspective is not incorrect, but it is incomplete. India shares land boundaries with Pakistan, Afghanistan, China’s region of Tibet, Nepal, Bhutan, Bangladesh, and Myanmar. These borders pass through deserts, plains, forests, mountains, river valleys, and marshes, forming a diverse and complex landscape. These neighbours have shaped India’s history, security concerns, cultural exchanges, and political realities in profound ways. However, India is also surrounded by the sea on three sides. With a long peninsular coastline and access to major sea routes, India occupies a unique maritime position. Her peninsular shape extends deep into the Indian Ocean, giving her access to some of the most important sea routes in the world. This makes Sri Lanka and the Maldives immediate neighbours across the waters. When viewed from a higher perspective, India’s maritime neighbourhood expands further to include countries such as Iran, Oman, Thailand, Malaysia, Singapore, and Indonesia. These connections are not recent. They are rooted in centuries of trade, pilgrimage, cultural exchange, and shared history. For centuries, Indian traders sailed to Suvarṇabhūmi and Suvarṇadvīpa. Buddhist monks crossed seas carrying ideas, not armies. Ports became meeting points of language, food, faith, and culture. The ocean did not divide; it connected. This is why the chapter introduces students to the idea of a maritime neighbour, a country connected not by land, but by shared seas. It explains why the Indian Ocean, which carries a majority of the world’s oil and trade, matters not just to strategists, but to students trying to understand their place in the world. Writing the Chapter The core framework of the chapter emerged from these ideas, but its transformation into a student-friendly narrative was the result of collective effort. The research and writing were undertaken by the JOI team consisting of Ms. Vivaksha Vats, Ms. Supriya Mishra, and Ms. Kashmira Juwatkar , who worked carefully to translate strategic geography into language that a middle school student could relate to. Their challenge was not merely to inform, but to engage curiosity without overwhelming. We also benefited immensely from the guidance and feedback of the NCERT team , particularly Prof. Michel Danino ji and Ms. Suparna Diwakar ji . Their insights helped sharpen clarity, balance tone, and ensure the chapter remained pedagogically sound while staying true to historical and geographical realities. I remain deeply grateful for that collaborative spirit. Neighbours, Cooperation, and Reality While the chapter presents India’s relationships with her neighbours, it does not shy away from reality. India’s ties with some neighbours, particularly Pakistan and China, have been marked by conflict, tension, and unresolved disputes. Wars, border issues, and terrorism have disrupted normal relations and created long-standing challenges. At the same time, the chapter shows students another truth: India has repeatedly acted as a facilitator rather than a disruptor. From humanitarian assistance and disaster relief to development partnerships, cultural exchanges, and regional connectivity projects, India’s engagement has often been guided by cooperation. When a Chapter becomes a Conversation Since its release, “India and Her Neighbours” has sparked wide public discussion. Several national and regional media outlets have examined the chapter’s content, approach, and relevance, reflecting the wider interest in how India’s relationships with her neighbours are presented to students. This attention reminds us that what children learn in classrooms shapes how nations think tomorrow. Why This Matters A similar spirit guided us earlier in creating our recently launched book, “Wide Wild World: Divergent Hues of a Chaotic Globe”, the belief that young learners deserve a truthful, expansive understanding of geography, history, and politics. Not geography as static maps, but geography as a lived connection. The book is available here: https://www.amazon.in/dp/9349934515 If this conversation on neighbourhoods and global thinking resonates with you, explore our Kruu Webinar from HCL Jigsaw 5.0, which inspired over 10,000 high school learners: https://youtu.be/DjR-MiYqrsU . For Academic Mentoring and Tutoring support in IBDP and IGCSE, connect with us at https://www.johnsonodakkal.com/allprograms . You may also dive into our recent podcast discussing themes from India and her Neighbours here: https://www.youtube.com/live/qfN766PZnXc . Let us continue expanding how we understand our world.
- White Gold or Green Grave? Serbia’s Lithium Dilemma
Third Episode of “Global Canvas” from JOI Lithium , often called the " White Gold " of the 21st century, is at the heart of a contentious debate in Serbia. As one of the most essential raw materials for batteries and electric vehicles, its discovery promised economic growth and new opportunities. Yet, in Serbia , a country already familiar with the environmental hazards of mining, this promise has come with a steep price—sparking widespread unrest. Tensions have been brewing for some time, and on August 10, 2024 , the friction exploded when talks of a major lithium mine came to light. This project, intended to be a vital cornerstone for Europe's green transition, quickly became the target of fierce protests. Thousands of citizens swarmed the streets of Belgrade , their anger focused on the proposed mine in the Jadar Valley , home to the country's most significant lithium deposits. Protesters feared the project would cause irreversible environmental damage, echoing one protester’s sentiment that “this mine can't be built on agricultural land. In 30 years, you'll have a desert there." For many Serbians, the prospect of environmental devastation outweighs the economic gains touted by government officials. But is the conflict solely about environmental preservation? Or does something more complex and politically charged lie beneath the surface? Context and Background Serbia, situated at the crossroads of Eastern and Southern Europe, has a long and complex relationship with mining. Lithium’s discovery near Loznica in 2004 signalled a potential windfall for the country, leading to the involvement of Rio Tinto , an Anglo-Australian mining giant . By 2022 , Rio Tinto’s $2.4 billion project to extract lithium in Serbia seemed poised to begin. However, mass protests forced the government to halt the project, only to reinstate Rio Tinto’s license in July 2024, this time with backing from the European Union (EU). The EU's support is rooted in its drive to achieve zero emissions and reduce reliance on foreign energy sources. Lithium is a key component of this plan, with the Jadar Valley potentially supplying 90% of the EU's lithium needs. Yet, the environmental cost is clear—water pollution, deforestation, and agricultural devastation could follow in the wake of unchecked mining. For a country like Serbia, where agriculture and tourism are vital industries, such risks are unacceptable to many citizens. Key Players and Stakeholders At the heart of this battle is Rio Tinto, the multinational company granted permission to extract lithium in Serbia. Backed by the EU, the project is viewed as essential for Europe’s green energy transition. For Rio Tinto, the financial stakes are significant. But for the Serbian people, particularly those living near the proposed mining sites, the risks to health, agriculture, and biodiversity are far too great. Serbia's government, led by President Aleksandar Vučić , has been a strong proponent of the project. Vučić believes the mine could fuel the country's economic growth, create jobs, and strengthen Serbia's ties with the EU. However, his support for the project has drawn widespread criticism, particularly from environmental groups such as " Ne damo Jadar ," a leading voice in the protests. The movement is spearheaded by figures like Marijana Petkovic & Zlatko Kokanovic , both of whom hold key roles within these activist groups. While initially perceived as grassroots leaders, some allege that they, along with others, have ties to Western interests aiming to destabilise Vučić's government—a claim that further deepens the intrigue surrounding these protests. There are whispers of foreign interference, particularly from U.S.-backed organisations like the Rockefeller Foundation and USAID , which have long been associated with political machinations abroad. Adding to the mystery, both Russian intelligence and Chinese analysts have floated suspicions that the unrest may be orchestrated as part of a broader geopolitical effort to undermine Serbia's government. In this context, the protests are not simply about environmental concerns; they are part of a larger battle for influence, where Serbia stands as a pawn in the strategic games of global powers. Major Concerns and Consequences While the environmental risks are clear—potential water contamination, deforestation, and threats to agriculture—the political dimension of the protests raises additional concerns. As accusations of foreign interference swirl, many in Serbia fear that their country’s future is being decided by powers far beyond its borders. The Serbian government has pushed back, framing the protests as an attempt to orchestrate a "coup" under the guise of environmental protection. The tension escalated when Rio Tinto scientists withdrew a key report detailing the environmental impacts of the mining project, citing "significant errors." This sudden retraction has only fueled public suspicion, leaving many to wonder whether the true extent of the environmental risks is being hidden to protect the project’s future. For those opposing the project, the stakes couldn’t be higher. They argue that while the mine could generate jobs and revenue, the long-term consequences—water pollution, agricultural decline, and loss of biodiversity—would ultimately outweigh any short-term benefits. As the protests continue to grow, they have become a symbol of the broader global struggle to balance economic development with environmental sustainability. Political Perspectives and Understanding From a political perspective, this case exemplifies the complexities of global governance and the clash between local and international interests. On the one hand, Serbia is under pressure from the EU to support its green energy goals, which hinge on lithium as a critical component of the transition. This aligns with the principles of liberal internationalism, where cooperation between nations is seen as the key to solving global problems like climate change. The lithium mining controversy in Serbia illustrates the complex interplay of various International Relations (IR) theories. From a realist perspective, President Aleksandar Vučić’s claims that the protests are a foreign plot reflect a focus on state sovereignty and national interest, highlighting the perceived threats of external manipulation. Conversely, the liberal internationalism lens emphasises Serbia's role in supporting the EU's green energy goals, where cooperation is essential for addressing climate change. Additionally, the resource curse theory suggests that Serbia's lithium wealth could lead to economic instability and social unrest rather than prosperity. The protests also highlight elements of constructivism , as citizens frame their opposition in terms of national identity and resistance to perceived foreign imposition. Lastly, the situation underscores the challenges of environmental diplomacy and global governance , where local ecological concerns clash with international economic pressures, revealing the intricate dynamics at play in Serbia's battle over lithium. Takeaways The lithium protests in Serbia offer crucial lessons about the intersection of environmentalism, economics, and geopolitics. At the heart of the issue is a critical question: Can sustainable development truly be achieved if it comes at the expense of the environment? The protests, while focused on the immediate concerns of mining, reflect a larger global dilemma. As the world races towards green energy solutions, countries like Serbia are left grappling with the difficult choices between progress and preservation. The future of the Rio Tinto project remains uncertain, as does Serbia’s role in Europe’s green transition. But one thing is clear: This conflict has exposed deep divisions—between economic ambitions and environmental protection, between local interests and global agendas, and perhaps most troublingly, between truth and deception. As the conversation around lithium mining in Serbia unfolds, what’s your stance on the balance between economic growth and environmental protection? Should national interests outweigh global goals, or is the sacrifice necessary for progress? We want to hear your thoughts! Drop a comment below, follow this series, and engage with us as we unravel more geopolitical dilemmas across the world. Let’s continue the dialogue on how global politics shape the futures of nations like Serbia. Compiled by Commodore (Dr) Johnson Odakkal (with support from Ms Kashmira Juwatkar and Ms Supriya Mishra) Stay Tuned for More! For more insights and in-depth case studies, stay tuned for more episodes of Global Canvas , where we dive into the complex dynamics behind global events. If you are interested in contributing or sharing your insights, don’t hesitate to connect with us at www.johnsonodakkal.com or via email at ceo@johnsonodakkal.com References and Sources Huang Lanlan and Hu Yuwei. (2024, August 19). GT investigates: Lithium protests in Serbia: environment driven or politically motivated? Global Times https://www.globaltimes.cn/page/202408/1318321.shtml First Post. (2024, August 13). Serbia protests against lithium mining, president calls it "coup". Accessed on 6th September, 2024. YouTube. https://youtu.be/9RIbWzutvwY Santos, Sofia Ferreira. (2024, 11 August). Thousands protest against lithium mining in Serbia. BBC News. https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cged9qgwrvyo O’Grady, Cathleen. (2024, August 30). Proposed lithium mine in Serbia triggers publication dispute. Science.org . https://www.science.org/content/article/proposed-lithium-mine-serbia-triggers-publication-dispute Al Jazeera. (2024, August 10). Thousands protest in Serbia’s Belgrade against a lithium mining project. https://www.aljazeera.com/amp/news/2024/8/10/thousands-protest-in-serbias-belgrade-against-lithium-mining-project Business Standard. (2024, September 2). Thousands protest in Serbia over crackdown on anti-lithium activists. https://www.business-standard.com/amp/world-news/thousands-protest-in-serbia-over-crackdown-on-anti-lithium-activists-124090200011_1.html Al Jazeera. (2024, August 10). Thousands protest in Serbia’s Belgrade against a lithium mining project. https://www.aljazeera.com/amp/news/2024/8/10/thousands-protest-in-serbias-belgrade-against-lithium-mining-project Bárcena, L. (2024, September 4). Serbia's lithium gamble Reviving Rio Tinto's mine amidst protests and economic promises. TNI. https://www.tni.org/en/article/serbias-lithium-gamble Business Standard. (2024, September 2). Thousands protest in Serbia over crackdown on anti-lithium activists. https://www.business-standard.com/amp/world-news/thousands-protest-in-serbia-over-crackdown-on-anti-lithium-activists-124090200011_1.html First Post. (2024, August 13). Serbia protests against lithium mining, president calls it "coup". Accessed on 6th September, 2024. https://youtu.be/9RIbWzutvwY Ford, M. (2025, November 18). Rio Tinto pauses plans for $3.7b lithium mine but Serbians remain concerned. https://www.abc.net.au/news/2025-11-18/rio-tinto-jadar-valley-mine-paused-amid-huge-opposition/106020944 Huang, L., & Hu, Y. (2024, August 19). GT investigates: Lithium protests in Serbia: environment driven or politically motivated? Global Times. https://www.globaltimes.cn/page/202408/1318321.shtml Mining. (2025, June 4). Rio Tinto revising cost of Serbia lithium project. https://www.mining.com/web/rio-tinto-revising-cost-of-serbia-lithium-project/ Mining. (2025, November 13). Rio Tinto puts Jadar lithium project on backburner. https://www.mining.com/rio-tinto-puts-jadar-lithium-project-on-backburner/ Nova. (2024, September 30). INTERVJU Zlatko Kokanović za Nova.rs pred protest ispred Skuštine: Vučić i Brnabić su postali najveći lobisti Rio Tinta, ne znam da li su na platnom spisku. https://nova.rs/vesti/politika/intervju-zlatko-kokanovic-za-nova-rs-pred-protest-ispred-skustine-vucic-i-brnabic-su-postali-najveci-lobisti-rio-tinta-ne-znam-da-li-su-na-platnom-spisku/ O’Grady, C. (2024, August 30). Proposed lithium mine in Serbia triggers publication dispute. Science.org https://www.science.org/content/article/proposed-lithium-mine-serbia-triggers-publication-dispute Santos, S F. (2024, 11 August). Thousands protest against lithium mining in Serbia. BBC News. https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cged9qgwrvyo Serbia Energy. (2024, October 13). Serbia: Evaluating pros and cons of the Jadar lithium project. https://serbia-energy.eu/serbia-evaluating-the-pros-and-cons-of-the-jadar-lithium-project/ Šmilňáková, Z. (2024, October 24). Protests against Lithium Mining in Serbia: The Present and the Past. Strategic Analysis. https://www.strategicanalysis.sk/protests-against-lithium-mining-in-serbia-the-present-and-the-past/ Times of India. (2025, November 1). Novi Sad station collapse: One year after tragedy, Serbia remember victims with silent march. https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/world/europe/novi-sad-station-collapse-one-year-after-tragedy-serbia-remember-victims-with-silent-march/articleshow/125014264.cms Todorovic, I. (2024, October 8). Aktivisti iz Jadra poveli u blokade sa protesta u Beogradu protiv kopanja litijuma. Balkan Green Energy News. https://balkangreenenergynews.com/rs/aktivisti-iz-jadra-poveli-u-blokade-sa-protesta-u-beogradu-protiv-kopanja-litijuma/ Radio Free Europe. (2024, August 20). EU Rejects Accusation That West Played Role In Recent Anti-Mining Protests In Serbia. https://www.rferl.org/a/serbia-lithium-mining-protests-european-union/33086180.html Vreme. (2024, August 10). Kokanović and Petković after the conversation in the BIA: Warning before tonight's meeting. https://vreme.com/en/vesti/aktivisti-kokanovic-i-petkovic-pozvani-na-razgovor-u-bia/ Weizman, J., & Ahmatović, Š. (2025, April 18). Is Serbia turning into an EU mining colony?. Politico. https://www.politico.eu/article/serbia-lithium-reserve-eu-mining-colony-electric-vehicles/
- Guinea’s 2009 Massacre: A Long Road to Justice
Second Episode of “Global Canvas” from JOI On September 28, 2009 , the streets of Conakry , Guinea’s capital, were filled with peaceful pro-democracy protests demanding an end to the military regime. However, hope quickly turned to horror as the demonstration at the national stadium was met with brutal violence by Guinea's security forces. The massacre that followed not only devastated the country but also left a lasting scar on its path toward justice and human rights. More than a decade later, Guinea is finally seeing some accountability with the conviction of former leader Captain Moussa Dadis Camara and several senior officials for crimes against humanity. Yet, in September 2024, the legacy of the 2009 massacre continues to shape Guinea’s political landscape. Following the military coup of 2021 that ousted President Alpha Condé , the country has struggled to stabilize under the transitional rule of Colonel Mamady Doumbouya . Promised democratic elections have been delayed repeatedly, leaving Guinea in a state of political limbo. Human rights organizations, domestic opposition groups, and the international community are watching closely, concerned about whether the current military leadership is genuinely committed to democratic governance or simply another iteration of authoritarian rule. The impact of the 2009 massacre remains highly relevant today, as Guinea attempts to reckon with its authoritarian past while navigating its uncertain future. The slow pursuit of justice and the ongoing political instability raise pressing questions about the nation’s capacity to uphold the rule of law, respect human rights, and deliver on the promise of democracy. The world’s focus on Guinea’s delayed elections in 2024 serves as a stark reminder that the country’s future is deeply intertwined with how it confronts its violent past. This case study, the second in JOI’s Global Canvas series, examines the implications of the 2009 massacre, exploring its causes, consequences, and the long pursuit of justice. Guinea’s experience serves as a critical example of the broader global challenges of authoritarianism, human rights, and international justice. Context and Background Guinea’s political turmoil has its roots in decades of military coups and authoritarian rule. Captain Moussa Dadis Camara came to power in 2008 following a coup, but his rule was immediately met with resistance from opposition groups. In 2009, as opposition to his leadership intensified, security forces launched a violent crackdown on a peaceful protest at Conakry’s national stadium. The protestors were demonstrating against Camara’s plans to run for president in the upcoming elections. Security forces used live ammunition, sexual violence, and brutal force to silence the protest. The massacre claimed the lives of hundreds, left thousands injured, and drew widespread condemnation from the international community. Key Players and Stakeholders At the center of the 2009 massacre was Captain Moussa Dadis Camara , whose military regime sought to maintain power through violent repression. Camara’s control over the military and security forces allowed him to suppress opposition and retain authority. Alongside him were senior officials and military leaders who played critical roles in carrying out the brutal crackdown on protests. The protestors, representing a wide spectrum of Guinea’s political opposition, sought democratic reforms and an end to military rule. However, their peaceful demonstration was met with extreme violence, highlighting the challenges faced by pro-democracy movements in authoritarian regimes. Internationally, human rights organizations like Human Rights Watch and the United Nations denounced the massacre and called for accountability. Yet, despite the global outcry, real progress toward justice was delayed for more than a decade. Major Concerns and Consequences The 2009 Guinea massacre reignited concerns about human rights violations in authoritarian regimes. The scale of violence, including the use of live ammunition and widespread sexual assault, was shocking. Estimates suggest that hundreds were killed, but the precise numbers remain unknown due to government efforts to suppress information and intimidate witnesses. The delayed response to the massacre led to prolonged political instability in Guinea. Protests continued in the aftermath, and the political opposition remained fragmented. It wasn’t until the ousting of President Alpha Condé in 2021 and the rise of a new military junta that real efforts to bring justice for the massacre’s victims began. Globally, the massacre underscored the challenges faced by international human rights organizations in holding military regimes accountable. Despite early calls for investigations, the international community struggled to influence Guinea’s internal politics, leaving survivors waiting for justice. A glimmer of hope emerged in 2022 with the long-awaited trials of those accused of perpetrating the massacre. After years of delays, the proceedings opened on the anniversary of the massacre itself, September 28th. The trial was a landmark moment for Guinea, with former leader Captain Moussa Dadis Camara and several senior officials facing charges of crimes against humanity. Though fraught with challenges, including security threats and escapes by some of the accused, the trial concluded in July 2024 with convictions for several individuals, including Camara. This verdict, while a significant step towards accountability, serves as a reminder of the long and arduous path to justice for victims of such atrocities. Political Perspectives and Understanding Understanding Guinea’s 2009 massacre within a global political framework reveals the complexities of authoritarian governance and human rights accountability. Through the lens of realism , Captain Moussa Dadis Camara's actions reflect those of a leader prioritizing regime survival over democratic norms. His use of state violence to suppress dissent is a hallmark of authoritarian regimes, where the preservation of power takes precedence over human rights and democratic principles. Camara’s regime, like many others, relied on brute force to maintain control, underscoring the realist view that power and stability are often secured through coercion, especially in fragile political environments. Liberal internationalism , by contrast, emphasizes the importance of international cooperation and the role of global institutions in upholding human rights and justice. The calls for accountability from organizations such as Human Rights Watch and Amnesty International align with this perspective, advocating for adherence to international legal frameworks. The United Nations (UN) , as a key proponent of liberal internationalism, has been at the forefront of welcoming Guinea’s long-awaited pursuit of justice. The 2022 trials , which concluded in July 2024 with the conviction of several individuals, including Captain Moussa Dadis Camara , mark a pivotal moment in the fight against impunity. The UN has hailed these verdicts as significant, stressing that they represent not only a form of accountability for the crimes committed during the 2009 massacre but also a vital step in strengthening international legal norms . The UN’s perspective on the trials highlights its role as a global institution dedicated to promoting justice and human rights. In welcoming the convictions, the UN underscored the importance of such legal proceedings in addressing historical atrocities and offering closure to the victims and their families. The successful prosecution of key figures from the massacre, more than a decade after the events, signals the enduring relevance of international pressure and collaboration in seeking justice, even in contexts where authoritarian regimes have historically defied accountability. This outcome also reflects the resilience of international legal frameworks, despite the challenges posed by national sovereignty and military control. In a broader context, Guinea’s delayed justice is emblematic of the difficulties in holding authoritarian regimes accountable. Similar cases in Myanmar and Belarus show that while international pressure and legal frameworks can play a crucial role, they often face obstacles from entrenched military power and authoritarian governance. The international community’s involvement is critical, but it is often constrained by the complexities of sovereignty , regional dynamics , and the balance of power within authoritarian states. Guinea’s struggle, however, offers a hopeful example that justice, though slow, is achievable with sustained international effort and local commitment to human rights. Takeaways The 2009 massacre in Guinea serves as a stark reminder of the fragility of human rights in the face of authoritarianism. Although the recent convictions of Camara and his co-defendants offer a semblance of justice, the years of delay illustrate the challenges of holding military regimes accountable. For global politics students, this case highlights the intersection of power, governance, and international justice. It encourages reflection on how international actors can support human rights and democracy in regions where authoritarian rule prevails. More importantly, Guinea’s story serves as a cautionary tale of the need for strong international institutions and mechanisms for preventing such atrocities and ensuring timely justice for victims of political violence. Compiled by Commodore (Dr) Johnson Odakkal (with support from Ms Ruchita Gaikwad and Ms Supriya Mishra) Stay Tuned for More! Keep following our Global Canvas series as we continue to explore and analyze key geopolitical events shaping the world today. Each episode offers fresh perspectives and in-depth analysis on pivotal global cases. If you are interested in contributing or sharing your insights, don’t hesitate to connect with us at www.johnsonodakkal.com or via email at ceo@johnsonodakkal.com . Stay engaged, and join us as we delve deeper into the evolving landscape of global politics. References and Sources TOI World Desk. (2024, August 1). Ex-Guinean leader Moussa Dadis Camara convicted for 2009 massacre and mass rape. The Times of India . https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/world/rest-of-world/ex-guinean-leader-moussa-dadis-camara-convicted-for-2009-massacre-and-mass-rape/articleshow/112189238.cms Ruth Maclean; Abdourahmane Diallo. (2024, July 31). Ex-President of Guinea Convicted of Ordering Stadium Massacre. The New York Times . https://www.nytimes.com/2024/07/31/world/africa/guinea-moussa-dadis-camara-guilty.html Jazeera, A. (2023, November 21). Guinea to investigate former president Conde for alleged treason. Al Jazeera . https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2023/11/21/guinea-to-investigate-former-president-conde-for-alleged-treason Prosecution Seeks Crimes against Humanity Charges in Guinea Massacre Trial. (2024, July 23). Human Rights Watch . https://www.hrw.org/news/2024/03/15/prosecution-seeks-crimes-against-humanity-charges-guinea-massacre-trial AfricaNews. (2023, October 4). Guinea: Trial of septembre 2009 massacre resumes . Africanews. https://www.africanews.com/2023/10/04/guinea-trial-of-septembre-2009-massacre-resumes// Guinea: Senior UN officials welcome verdict in 2009 stadium massacre trial . (2024, August 1). UN News. https://news.un.org/en/story/2024/08/1152726 Aburamadan, T. (2024, March 15). Prosecution Seeks Crimes against Humanity Charges in Guinea Massacre Trial. Human Rights Watch. https://www.hrw.org/news/2024/03/15/prosecution-seeks-crimes-against-humanity-charges-guinea-massacre-trial Al Jazeera. (2023, November 21). Guinea to investigate former president Conde for alleged treason. Al Jazeera. https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2023/11/21/guinea-to-investigate-former-president-conde-for-alleged-treason Human Rights Watch. (2024, July 26). Guinea’s 2009 Stadium Massacre Trial. https://www.hrw.org/news/2024/07/26/guineas-2009-stadium-massacre-trial#whendid Maclean, R., & Diallo, A. (2024, July 31). Ex-President of Guinea Convicted of Ordering Stadium Massacre. The New York Times. https://www.nytimes.com/2024/07/31/world/africa/guinea-moussa-dadis-camara-guilty.html Rédaction Africanews & AFP. (2024, August 13). Guinea: Trial of septembre 2009 massacre resumes. Africa News. https://www.africanews.com/2023/10/04/guinea-trial-of-septembre-2009-massacre-resumes// Reuters. (2025, September 21). Guinea votes in referendum that could let coup leader run for President. The Hindu. https://www.thehindu.com/news/international/guinea-holds-referendum-for-new-constitution-that-could-permit-coup-leader-to-become-president/article70076269.ece Reuters. (2025, November 10). Guinea coup leader Doumbouya cleared to run for president. https://www.reuters.com/world/africa/guinea-coup-leader-doumbouya-cleared-run-president-2025-11-10/ TOI World Desk. (2024, August 1). Ex-Guinean leader Moussa Dadis Camara convicted for 2009 massacre and mass rape. The Times of India. https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/world/rest-of-world/ex-guinean-leader-moussa-dadis-camara-convicted-for-2009-massacre-and-mass rape/articleshow/112189238.cms United Nations - UN News. (2024, August 1). Guinea: Senior UN officials welcome verdict in 2009 stadium massacre trial. https://news.un.org/en/story/2024/08/1152726
- Venezuela's 2024 Elections on the Global Stage
Inaugural Episode of “Global Canvas” from JOI On a hopeful evening in July 2024, Venezuelans like Gaby Arellano—a political refugee and former member of Venezuela's National Assembly—looked forward to a new dawn for their beleaguered nation. However, those hopes were quickly dashed when Nicolás Maduro secured a disputed third term as president the following day. Arellano, who has long been a vocal critic of Maduro's government and now seeks refuge in Colombia, was not alone in her disappointment. Across Venezuela, cries for change were stifled by the grim reality of what many believe to be a fraudulent election. The 2024 presidential election has sparked significant controversy, underscoring Venezuela’s prolonged political crisis. This case study, the first in JOI’s Global Canvas series, delves into the implications of Nicolás Maduro's contested third-term victory and its relevance in the global political context. The election has raised widespread allegations of fraud, triggered protests, and prompted international backlash, reflecting the broader global challenges of democracy , governance , and human rights . Context and Background Venezuela’s political history has been marked by turbulence, especially since the rise of Hugo Chávez in 1999. Chávez’s Bolivarian Revolution centralised power, implemented socialist policies, and nationalised industries, all while using oil revenues to fund social programs. After Chávez’s death in 2013, Nicolás Maduro inherited an economy in decline, exacerbated by mismanagement, falling oil prices, and hyperinflation. His rule has been met with widespread opposition, leading to mass protests in 2014 and again following his disputed 2018 re-election. The 2024 election further deepened this turmoil. Announced on July 29, 2024, the results declared Maduro the winner with 51% of the vote, while Edmundo González secured 44%. This result sharply contrasted with pre-election opinion polls predicting a significant lead for González, which ranged from 67-70%. Maduro’s victory, coupled with delayed voting tallies and widespread irregularities, has raised concerns about the legitimacy of the electoral process. Key Players and Stakeholders The 2024 Venezuelan election involved several key domestic and international stakeholders shaping the country’s political trajectory. At the centre has been Nicolás Maduro , who has maintained power through loyalist networks within the United Socialist Party of Venezuela (PSUV) , the military, and other state institutions. Despite growing economic mismanagement and allegations of human rights abuses, Maduro’s grip remains firm due to his control over key government branches. In opposition to Maduro has been Edmundo González , representing a fragmented but persistent opposition . The opposition’s challenges were compounded by the disqualification of popular figures like María Corina Machado , leaving González to lead the charge. Though González symbolizes hope for many Venezuelans disillusioned with Maduro’s rule, the opposition remains hampered by state suppression, a lack of institutional support, and internal divisions. A key force in the country’s political equation continues to be the Venezuelan military , which has played a central role in maintaining Maduro’s leadership. The military’s loyalty, driven by political allegiance and economic interests, has allowed Maduro to suppress dissent, though growing dissatisfaction within the lower ranks reflects broader social and economic hardships. Internationally, Brazil , Chile , and Colombia have called for transparency in Venezuela’s electoral process, advocating for the release of paper ballots to verify the results. In contrast, China , Russia , and Iran have supported Maduro, underscoring Venezuela’s strategic significance in the global geopolitical landscape. The United States continues to impose sanctions, pushing for free and fair elections, while the European Union offers diplomatic mediation. Major Concerns and Consequences The 2024 Venezuelan election has reignited concerns over electoral transparency and integrity . Pre-election polls suggesting González’s lead starkly contrasted with the final results, and the government’s delay in releasing detailed voting tallies further fueled allegations of fraud. This opacity undermines the credibility of the electoral process, casting doubt on the legitimacy of Maduro’s victory. The fallout from the election has been swift. Protests erupted across Venezuela, met with harsh crackdowns by security forces. Operation Knock Knock , a controversial security operation, resulted in over 23 deaths and thousands of arrests, exacerbating tensions between the government and opposition. Reports of human rights violations have drawn international condemnation, further isolating Venezuela on the global stage. Domestically, the election has deepened Venezuela’s political polarisation. Maduro’s continued hold on power, despite economic collapse and humanitarian crises, raises questions about the future of governance in the country. 7.8 million Venezuelans have fled, creating a regional refugee crisis and straining neighboring countries like Colombia and Brazil. Globally, the election is part of a broader pattern of democratic erosion , akin to disputed elections in Belarus and Myanmar . Venezuela’s strategic importance in Latin America, coupled with the involvement of external actors like China, Russia, and the U.S., makes this crisis particularly significant for global politics and regional stability. Political Perspectives and Understanding Understanding Venezuela’s 2024 election through different political theories provides valuable insights into the motivations behind Maduro’s government and the international response. Realism argues that Venezuela’s leadership prioritizes survival and power, often at the expense of democratic norms. Maduro’s actions, bolstered by military support and strategic alliances with Russia and China, reflect this realist tendency to preserve authority in a fragile state. Liberalism meanwhile emphasises the need for international cooperation, democratic values, and institutional support. Liberal theorists critique Venezuela’s opaque electoral process and stress the importance of international mediation, as seen in the calls by Brazil and Colombia for transparency. Constructivism offers a deeper understanding of the ideological constructs within Venezuela. Maduro’s regime, rooted in Chávez’s Bolivarian ideology , continues to shape its policies around nationalism, socialism, and resistance to foreign intervention, particularly from the U.S. The international response remains divided, with Western democracies pushing for electoral reforms and authoritarian regimes like China and Russia supporting Maduro’s claim to power. Venezuela’s election serves as a microcosm of the broader ideological struggle between authoritarianism and democracy in the global arena. Takeaways Venezuela’s 2024 election highlights the fragility of democracy in politically unstable environments. Allegations of fraud, coupled with internal unrest and international scrutiny, emphasise the broader geopolitical divide between authoritarianism and democratic governance. The election serves as a stark reminder of how quickly democratic institutions can erode under authoritarian regimes. The global implications of this crisis extend far beyond Venezuela’s borders. If left unresolved, the country’s political instability could affect regional stability , influence international diplomacy , and shape future discussions on democratic governance and human rights . Venezuela’s ongoing struggle is a test case for how the world responds to electoral fraud, authoritarianism, and human rights abuses, making it a critical moment in the evolving global political landscape. Compiled by Commodore (Dr) Johnson Odakkal (with support from Ms Kashmira Juwatkar and Ms Supriya Mishra) Stay Tuned for More! Stay tuned for more insightful and diverse case studies from around the world as part of our Global Canvas series. Each blog will delve into unique geopolitical cases, offering fresh perspectives and critical analyses from our talented contributors. If you want to contribute to our Global Canvas series, feel free to drop an email at ceo@johnsonodakkal.com or reach out to us at www.johnsonodakkal.com and www.joi4u.com . For more insights and information on this series, email us at ops@johnsonodakkal.com . Stay connected, and join us as we continue to explore the ever-evolving landscape of global politics! References and Sources Reuters. (2024, August 6). Venezuela launches investigation against opposition leaders amid protest crackdown https://thesun.my/world/venezuela-launches-investigation-against-opposition-leaders-amid-protest-crackdown-KJ12821380 The Week. (2024, August 7). Venezuelan opposition candidate Gonzalez won't appear before court and questions election audit. https://www.theweek.in/wire-updates/international/2024/08/07/fgn36-venezuela-election.html Rogero, T. (2024, August 6). Evidence shows Venezuela’s election was stolen – but will Maduro budge?. The Guardian https://www.firstpost.com/world/venezuela-nicolas-maduro-election-fraud-poll-rigging-opppsition-leader-edmundo-golnzales-court-summon-arrest-13802213.html Buschschlüter, V. (2024, July 29). Venezuela's Maduro declared winner in disputed vote. BBC https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cz5rj2mzgevo Noriega, C. (2024, August 29). Venezuela's diaspora flexes its might. Al Jazeera. https://www.aljazeera.com/news/longform/2024/8/29/in-venezuelas-diaspora-protests-erupt-against-maduros-contested-election REGINA GARCIA CANO. JOSHUA GOODMAN. ANGELIKI KASTANIS. (2024, August 3). A review of Venezuela opposition-provided vote tallies casts doubt on the government's election results. AP News. https://apnews.com/article/venezuela-maduro-machado-biden-gonzalez-a625eb01979bc9cf5570d03242f198b1 JOSHUA GOODMAN. JORGE RUEDA. (2024, August 29). Maduro opponents take to streets to revive protests disputing Venezuelan election results. AP News. https://apnews.com/article/venezuela-election-maduro-protests-3a3dc0501297ba0e658a30bd022fc2a2 Al Jazeera. (2025, May 26). Venezuela election results: Who lost, won and what next? https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2025/5/26/venezuela-election-results-who-lost-won-and-what-next Buschschlüter, V. (2024, July 29). Venezuela’s Maduro declared winner in disputed vote. BBC News. https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cz5rj2mzgevo Buschschlüter, V. (2025, May 26). Venezuela’s ruling party claims election win as opposition boycotts poll. BBC News. https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cdj9znklprlo Cano, R. G., Goodman, J., & Kastanis, A. (2024, August 3). AP review of Venezuela opposition-provided vote tallies casts doubt on government’s election results. AP News. https://apnews.com/article/venezuela-maduro-machado-biden-gonzalez-a625eb01979bc9cf5570d03242f198b1 Denoon, D. (2017). China, The United States, and the Future of Latin America: U.S.-China Relations, Volume III 9781479811588. https://dokumen.pub/china-the-united-states-and-the-future-of-latin-america-us-china-relations-volume-iii-9781479811588.html De Saint Malo, I. (2025, June 13). Contesting Electoral fraud in Venezuela: Implications for the Future of Democracy in Latin America. Georgetown Journal of International Affairs. https://gjia.georgetown.edu/2025/06/13/contesting-electoral-fraud-in-venezuela-implications-for-the-future-of-democracy-in-latin-america/ Heckel, H. (2025, October 22). history of Venezuela. Britannica https://www.britannica.com/topic/history-of-Venezuela Human Rights Watch. (n.d.). Venezuela Events of 2024. https://www.hrw.org/world-report/2025/country-chapters/venezuela Human Rights Watch. (2024, September 4). Venezuela: Brutal crackdown on protesters, voters. https://www.hrw.org/news/2024/09/04/venezuela-brutal-crackdown-protesters-voters Kahn, T. (2024, September 26). Venezuela’s Crisis Is Polarizing Latin America’s Politics. https://americasquarterly.org/article/venezuelas-crisis-is-polarizing-latin-americas-politics/ Lambert, L. (2025, March 17). What is Tren de Aragua, the Venezuelan gang targeted by Trump? BBC https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cr421q5zl69o LaReau, R. (2025, March 21). Lessons from Venezuela’s democratic collapse: how opposition movements can defy autocratic leaders. Keough School of Global Affairs. https://keough.nd.edu/news-and-events/news/lessons-from-venezuelas-democratic-collapse-how-opposition-movements-can-defy-autocratic-leaders/ Mehr News . (2025, November 30). Venezuela lauds Iran's support for its national sovereignty. https://en.mehrnews.com/news/239312/Venezuela-lauds-Iran-s-support-for-its-national-sovereignty Murphy, M., Cheetham, J. (2025, October 21). US strikes on Latin American 'drug boats': What do we know, and are they legal? BBC https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cdjzw3gplv7o Paredes, N. (2025, November 24). What is Cartel de los Soles, which the US is labelling as a terrorist organisation? BBC https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cy8j4ye5x0mo Rogero, T. (2024, August 6). Evidence shows Venezuela’s election was stolen – but will Maduro budge? The Guardian. https://www.theguardian.com/world/article/2024/aug/06/venezuela-election-maduro-analysis RUSSIA'S PIVOT TO ASIA. (2025, November 23). Venezuela Extends Russian Oil Joint Venture Agreements By 15 Years. https://russiaspivottoasia.com/venezuela-extends-russian-oil-joint-venture-agreements-by-15-years/ RUSSIA'S PIVOT TO ASIA. (2025, November 29). Russia, Venezuela Sign Off 42 Bilateral Cooperation Agreements: Analysis. https://russiaspivottoasia.com/russia-venezuela-sign-off-42-bilateral-cooperation-agreements-analysis/ Sequera, V., & Guanipa, M. (2024, August 6). Venezuela launches investigation against opposition leaders amid protest crackdown. Reuters. https://www.reuters.com/world/americas/maduro-security-forces-round-up-venezuelans-involved-protests-operation-knock-2024-08-05/ Sharma, Y. (2025, October 6). Can US strikes on suspected drug boats off Venezuela be legally justified? Al Jazeera. https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2025/10/6/can-us-strikes-on-suspected-drug-boats-off-venezuela-be-legally-justified Smoleń, J. (2025, November 15). Venezuela between the great powers. https://defence24.com/geopolitics/venezuela-between-the-great-powers Tian, N. Lopez DaSilva, D. (2019, April 2). The crucial role of the military in the Venezuelan crisis. SIPRI https://www.sipri.org/commentary/topical-backgrounder/2019/crucial-role-military-venezuelan-crisis UNHCR. (2025, May). Venezuela situation. https://www.unhcr.org/emergencies/venezuela-situation The U.S. Department of the Treasury. (2019, January 28). Treasury Sanctions Venezuela’s State-Owned Oil Company Petroleos de Venezuela, S.A. https://home.treasury.gov/news/press-releases/sm594 The U.S. Department of State. (2025, February 20). Designation of International Cartels. https://www.state.gov/designation-of-international-cartels The U.S. Department of State. (2025, August 7). WANTED: NICOLÁS MADURO MOROS REWARD INCREASE OF UP TO $50 MILLION https://www.state.gov/nicolas-maduro-moros Walter, Jm (2025, November 29). Venezuela: Trump signals imminent land attacks. DW. https://amp.dw.com/en/venezuela-trump-signals-imminent-land-attacks/a-74952467 Zhen, H. (2025, November 3). Chinese Scholars See Russia’s Venezuela Strategy as a Model of Hybrid Power Projection in the U.S.’ Backyard. https://chinaglobalsouth.com/2025/11/03/russia-venezuela-strategic-partnership-military-energy-diplomacy/












